Euroleague · resolved market
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Zalgiris Kaunas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14fe9e3b6163edaa3849f5dc3d7cdf2e7806802d582f82e2757e836ffb68d7e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympiacos B.C.of Olympiacos B.C., Zalgiris Kaunas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 2c | 13,553$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.62 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b38…783fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 5c | 4,298$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olympiacos B.C. | 73c | 1,952$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.61 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 28c | 1,400$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.21 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Olympiacos B.C. | 72c | 1,386$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.44 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Olympiacos B.C. | 71c | 1,319$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olympiacos B.C. | 71c | 1,292$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.21 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…e6c7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 7c | 911.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 32c | 809.36$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…89afbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 30c | 327.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 32c | 313.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Olympiacos B.C. | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 73c | 271.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Olympiacos B.C. | 71c | 270$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…cea8backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…cdffbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 73c | 196.1$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…9e02backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 30c | 192.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…104ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 31c | 191.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 27c | 176.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…2798backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 21c | 165.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 30c | 165.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea9…10febacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 17c | 164.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 16c | 158.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Olympiacos B.C. | 70c | 158$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 73c | 153.49$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 28c | 138$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 76c | 130.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Olympiacos B.C. | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 29c | 81.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ae…ccefbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 69c | 75.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Olympiacos B.C. | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…a5c2backed Olympiacos B.C. | 71c | 42.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Olympiacos B.C. | 70c | 31.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Olympiacos B.C. | 70c | 24.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.