College Football · resolved market
Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80a3f960cafb3f58ac3c60aa2f10a52f3d2128789ace4ca20de54ec6fd21d116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Missof Southern Miss, Arkansas State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Arkansas State | 37c | 56,494$20,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,902.7 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Southern Miss | 64c | 36,526$23,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,147.9 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Southern Miss | 64c | 29,684$19,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,683.19 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…f152backed Arkansas State | 37c | 24,403$9,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,028.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Arkansas State | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Southern Miss | 63c | 16,794$10,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,213.65 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Southern Miss | 69c | 16,139$11,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,947.86 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Arkansas State | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Southern Miss | 63c | 10,963$6,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.21 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southern Miss | 63c | 8,175$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.8 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Southern Miss | 63c | 7,640$4,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.45 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Southern Miss | 67c | 6,193$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.84 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Arkansas State | 33c | 4,529$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.04 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arkansas State | 14c | 4,352$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.86 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Arkansas State | 33c | 4,250$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.5 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Southern Miss | 64c | 4,162$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.32 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Arkansas State | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Arkansas State | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arkansas State | 19c | 3,392$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.55 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Southern Miss | 64c | 3,228$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.08 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arkansas State | 15c | 2,919$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.28 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas State | 27c | 2,425$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.75 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Arkansas State | 36c | 1,828$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Southern Miss | 63c | 1,800$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.85 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Arkansas State | 10c | 1,614$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.43 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Southern Miss | 63c | 1,595$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed Arkansas State | 37c | 1,593$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Arkansas State | 37c | 1,500$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.49 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arkansas State | 7c | 1,405$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Southern Miss | 63c | 1,369$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.39 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559f…cd83backed Arkansas State | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…eb4abacked Southern Miss | 64c | 1,351$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Southern Miss | 64c | 1,330$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.86 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Southern Miss | 66c | 1,327$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.17 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Southern Miss | 65c | 1,282$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.72 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arkansas State | 23c | 1,010$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.54 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Arkansas State | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Arkansas State | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Arkansas State | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Arkansas State | 36c | 800$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…eb2cbacked Southern Miss | 64c | 670$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Southern Miss | 63c | 668.94$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…2f9bbacked Arkansas State | 37c | 667$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed Arkansas State | 35c | 650$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Arkansas State | 31c | 620$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Southern Miss | 63c | 587$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.19 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Southern Miss | 63c | 526.87$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Southern Miss | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…3f01backed Southern Miss | 64c | 475$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arkansas State | 20c | 462.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Arkansas State | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Arkansas State | 17c | 360.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee1…a1f5backed Southern Miss | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…b3a7backed Arkansas State | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…1d60backed Arkansas State | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Arkansas State | 36c | 299$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Arkansas State | 35c | 299$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Arkansas State | 17c | 287.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Arkansas State | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…a537backed Arkansas State | 37c | 269.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Arkansas State | 33c | 230$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Southern Miss | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Arkansas State | 35c | 215$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southern Miss | 65c | 209$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Arkansas State | 9c | 205$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Arkansas State | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Arkansas State | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Arkansas State | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Arkansas State | 37c | 158.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Southern Miss | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Southern Miss | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…19d4backed Southern Miss | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Southern Miss | 74c | 154.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a9…df50backed Southern Miss | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809d…4f4fbacked Southern Miss | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Arkansas State | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Southern Miss | 72c | 139.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Arkansas State | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Arkansas State | 36c | 119.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…7a49backed Southern Miss | 64c | 115.63$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Arkansas State | 11c | 110.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…3970backed Southern Miss | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59bd…06d2backed Arkansas State | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a4…94c1backed Arkansas State | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Arkansas State | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Arkansas State | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Arkansas State | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Arkansas State | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Arkansas State | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…8c52backed Southern Miss | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Arkansas State | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Arkansas State | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Arkansas State | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Southern Miss | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Southern Miss | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Arkansas State | 33c | 88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Arkansas State | 15c | 77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Arkansas State | 23c | 76.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Southern Miss | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d77…6bd8backed Southern Miss | 64c | 67.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Miss vs. Arkansas Statethis page
- O/U 56.5Under won
- Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State: O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Southern Miss (-4.5)Southern Miss won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.