NBA · resolved market

Will Mark Daigneault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2765ef6ab35baa3e57289a33fac6a4c99efdbcfe9d4c952cfbbf7916291d270

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $13,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,518 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x742f…d673backed Yes	15c	401$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.15	353	52.4%185 W · 168 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	380.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.16	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Yes	6c	300$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	94	58.5%55 W · 39 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe72…900fbacked Yes	20c	189.85$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.22	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11b…f663backed No	72c	90$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	15	86.7%13 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	72cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	75c	83.74$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.13	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	+7.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9d3…246cbacked Yes	33c	61.13$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	143	46.9%67 W · 76 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71a6…6fa0backed Yes	27c	45.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No	79c	26.6$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.53	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	68c	22$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.95	67	62.7%42 W · 25 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No	76c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.65	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Mark Daigneault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event