NBA · resolved market

Will Darko Rajakovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc71f6b289793969d8e0d778f019d486bafbb80b68dc4eeee943ed068326f78c

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,311 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	0c	3,371$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.85	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes	10c	999.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabf2…a5aebacked Yes	3c	646.64$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee9e…efb7backed Yes	6c	451$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.61	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+55.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x282e…3eaabacked Yes	7c	450$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+47%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	5c	389.31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.52	89	4.5%4 W · 85 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…758bbacked Yes	7c	323$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.64	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	6c	292.52$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.14	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	8c	255.72$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.56	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae18…1132backed Yes	7c	237$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.06	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f46…01b1backed Yes	6c	211$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.45	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f58…e29abacked Yes	10c	98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.09	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Darko Rajakovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event