Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13f458726d75d9e1c042f7e701c800e942c88a275822f6ee38cbe6fa8a1f94ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1299…219bbacked Yes | 12c | 5,300$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…1616backed Yes | 12c | 968$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked No | 68c | 937$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 12c | 933$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed Yes | 13c | 803$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Yes | 32c | 680$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…10fcbacked Yes | 12c | 585$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…7f4fbacked Yes | 12c | 509$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed Yes | 12c | 475$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed Yes | 12c | 466$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed Yes | 12c | 395$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 5c | 360$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 12c | 358$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…15ddbacked Yes | 12c | 357$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed Yes | 13c | 270$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…e52dbacked Yes | 13c | 270$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…17fbbacked Yes | 32c | 257$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…2e4ebacked Yes | 9c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 12c | 126$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed Yes | 31c | 121$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 69c | 121$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 35c | 84.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed No | 48c | 29.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will NEOM SC win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.