World Politics · resolved market
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26eb9949eebf6ba37e8c3c97fd2b2dd4a88be9312bc02c82a765c29596a5a180
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf78…a054backed No | 11c | 3,601$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 13c | 2,599$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.33 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed Yes | 56c | 2,135$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…00e6backed No | 25c | 1,733$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,286$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.06 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked No | 29c | 1,224$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed No | 29c | 1,219$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.51 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 53c | 1,160$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 71c | 966.66$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.79 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed Yes | 71c | 916$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 71c | 867$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 46c | 786.01$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.01 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 70c | 761.91$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.65 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked No | 27c | 727$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 73c | 727$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked Yes | 71c | 660$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…f7a5backed No | 46c | 655$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked No | 46c | 633$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…7dfebacked No | 30c | 626.78$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4c…8131backed Yes | 66c | 615$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…9bc7backed Yes | 75c | 602$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +288.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…f7e7backed Yes | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 75cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…6e9cbacked No | 37c | 578.1$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf100…2fcabacked Yes | 75c | 576$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…e864backed Yes | 75c | 555$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed No | 46c | 535$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…a63bbacked No | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 18c | 428.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked No | 47c | 424$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 37c | 405$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 53c | 384.55$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.22 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 80c | 363.98$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…505abacked Yes | 29c | 340.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +219.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 25c | 340$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 30c | 312$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa525…1e7bbacked No | 33c | 306.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6074…ebcdbacked No | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…4580backed No | 47c | 286$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 17c | 265.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 15c | 253.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 21c | 245.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 78c | 227.35$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…ce35backed No | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…73cebacked Yes | 75c | 200.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 54c | 195.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 16c | 181$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…d424backed Yes | 73c | 171.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…d186backed Yes | 37c | 158.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…6414backed Yes | 57c | 141.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 64c | 136.73$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 18c | 135.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…e84fbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…2569backed Yes | 76c | 131.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…ca54backed Yes | 71c | 122.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 65c | 115$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…051cbacked Yes | 35c | 115$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 9c | 108$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 38c | 107.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c3…ed15backed No | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…ab89backed Yes | 74c | 100.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f0…35f7backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…8033backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…c617backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…5ddfbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 20c | 97.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 25c | 90.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 16c | 84.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…109fbacked Yes | 76c | 78.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…7ddfbacked Yes | 79c | 72.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172a…60ccbacked Yes | 73c | 68.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 33c | 67.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80e7…ee81backed Yes | 69c | 58.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 70c | 51.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…3b17backed Yes | 20c | 50.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +406.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…aaa1backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7e…c364backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 48c | 42.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…8159backed Yes | 71c | 42.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed Yes | 65c | 41.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 58c | 41.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x905d…2c17backed No | 31c | 38.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…d288backed No | 31c | 38.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed Yes | 71c | 38.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 55c | 37.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 29c | 36.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…ac16backed Yes | 55c | 35.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca4…7e83backed No | 30c | 34.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 40c | 30.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…2117backed Yes | 80c | 26.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0f0bbacked Yes | 73c | 26.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 77cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Revival (Vazrazhdane) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will United Left (BSP) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Velichie (Velichie) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.