TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Montenegro win on 2026-03-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xadfa…324ebacked No68c15,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9829646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes32c5,306$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.9210558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c3,062$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad04…dce5backed Yes12c2,543$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c2,013$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.721,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes33c1,929$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.737924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No64c999.98$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.991838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No69c890.04$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.752,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No51c861.14$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.9616833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes66c850.12$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.0827327.5%75 W · 198 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f8…6c22backed Yes11c731$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No69c700.45$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.142,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed Yes11c681$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No33c605.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.9816341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes35c584.92$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6217338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No65c569.21$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.222,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes54c564.82$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.083,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes32c487.23$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2441451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Yes30c478.56$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.133956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes28c456.27$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes32c408.34$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1286455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No34c397.36$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.7354917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Yes67c369.36$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2466355.6%35 W · 28 L+8.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Yes32c349.36$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.667266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x864a…9ed1backed Yes11c331$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes32c313.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0650850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes32c293$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3655045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes25c273.41$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3145947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes34c271.26$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.784740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes47c256.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8335942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes68c250$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17029343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Yes32c239.9$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3910958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes32c225.91$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9224653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes14c208.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.624,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes32c201.69$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.631,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.881656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No37c179$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11312266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No38c176$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8510273.5%75 W · 27 L+15.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+40.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No71c165.02$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8617158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes34c135.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468219.5%16 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes36c104.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No67c104$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.871,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No70c103.9$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6745039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes18c103.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.888040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No44c100.05$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1420250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Yes65c92.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes27c91.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8823751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes42c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.54641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ca…17f3backed No70c90$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302536%9 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc539…ca4ebacked Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c77.32$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3728754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6dd…c6b6backed No66c77.22$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.394100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Yes67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+38.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c5f…c94dbacked No70c74.55$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No79c70.14$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0542043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes67c70$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.99759.8%58 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No49c68.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4827745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbd1…553dbacked Yes29c66.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.311752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No55c66.36$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1446536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes31c64.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0425948.6%126 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes31c59.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.285657.1%32 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd13…62fbbacked No78c54.55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Yes22c54.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Yes67c50.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1718139.2%71 W · 110 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710436.5%38 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed Yes31c49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.989855.1%54 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c48.77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2237144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes29c47.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8810550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked No65c47.69$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.691877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No65c45.26$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8416647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No69c39.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3210863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No34c39.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1616116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No69c39.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.35464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032b…603dbacked Yes66c37.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.484337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No37c36.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.82,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Yes35c32.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.33158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes35c32.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.315448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No64c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.521957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ca…e04dbacked No69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.35972.9%43 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf935…bc1cbacked No71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No71c27.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9921953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No59c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0751250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No69c26.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1123749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No66c25.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8416755.1%92 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No65c19.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7220156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes67c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.739145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No71c15.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.498659.3%51 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.