Fifa International · resolved market
Will Montenegro vs. Slovenia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x227f8121c1962f2a07d60b038ae3c731b35efb400b3eef07d84e5542844b46b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Yes | 11c | 1,351$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 1,240$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.85 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 24c | 1,003$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.72 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 588.58$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.03 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 20c | 399.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 309.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 233.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 23c | 228.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 218.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 78c | 212.46$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 203.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 193.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 22c | 183.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 25c | 135.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 132.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 67c | 117.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 41c | 116.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 69c | 106$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…4ad6backed Yes | 15c | 97.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 64c | 90.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 66c | 79.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 75.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 80c | 69.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 59.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 71c | 58.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 43c | 57.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 39c | 57.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 25c | 56.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 25c | 51.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 65c | 49.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 47.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 43.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 25.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 73c | 20.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked No | 77c | 18.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 70c | 18.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 78c | 13.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Montenegro vs. Slovenia end in a draw?this page
- Will Montenegro win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Slovenia win on 2026-03-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.