Movies · resolved market
Will "F1" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x642d80668cb96681ca7c9f916081297cbfbe28ffbe9d77ed56eda16833a9f408
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 43c | 1,418$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.74 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 57c | 1,197$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.92 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…81c0backed Yes | 40c | 1,011$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed No | 57c | 997$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 51c | 785.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.9 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed No | 60c | 546$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 45c | 538.5$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 40c | 521.92$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.33 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…6b65backed No | 57c | 423$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed No | 54c | 344$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…9ae0backed Yes | 43c | 344$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9f9ebacked Yes | 46c | 344$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 57c | 293$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 60c | 235$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked No | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed No | 63c | 197.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 57c | 128$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 47c | 108.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b0c1backed No | 45c | 101.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 72c | 97.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 42c | 96.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 44c | 82.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a54…db64backed Yes | 43c | 79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…5bbfbacked Yes | 48c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa03a…e64ebacked No | 40c | 44.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…b296backed Yes | 61c | 42.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…f792backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Yes | 56c | 30.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…53a1backed No | 45c | 24.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…2361backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "F1" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?this page
- Will "28 Years Later" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Marty Supreme" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.