TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,438 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26cb…3e56backed No38c384.58$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.632259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff33…b7b8backed No28c260$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea73…3596backed No28c192$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d6…8991backed No43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbf…d499backed No28c163$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x359e…8406backed No46c148$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498a…ba06backed No28c137$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85da…fd00backed No28c134$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+204.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0717…09e2backed No28c122$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.05333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0053…ae93backed No28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9864…914abacked No28c117$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked No25c109.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.892634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f61…d93bbacked No28c104$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3221…5138backed No46c98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a8…4920backed No28c94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x310c…891fbacked No28c92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f97…65c8backed No28c91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd886…af2abacked Yes72c91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad99…d4bbbacked Yes72c91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba5…7bf4backed Yes72c87$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd061…1d9cbacked No42c86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fd…d98dbacked Yes72c82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f5…5dbebacked No28c82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+217.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6501…e635backed No28c79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df4…5871backed No42c79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec28…8ef1backed No28c78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d41…d217backed No42c76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d80…9efcbacked No28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…9b6bbacked Yes72c72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3f3…2641backed Yes72c71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d2…a3d3backed No40c70.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e7…063dbacked No42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9530…8cd5backed No28c68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf76b…7a6abacked No43c68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x248b…b3b2backed Yes72c67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5369…ad04backed Yes72c67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cde…5b3fbacked Yes72c66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86df…ccdfbacked No42c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x728e…44f6backed Yes57c63$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd229…0184backed Yes57c61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3049…847abacked No28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa29d…b746backed No28c59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f8…8536backed No42c58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3682…5065backed Yes75c57.74$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0f…d5a6backed No39c56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97bc…71e6backed Yes57c56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe46f…17ebbacked Yes72c56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes50c55.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.56382.6%1 W · 37 L-14.3wins-0.38per pick40cpaid-94.7%equal weight25-0.23 edge/pick
0x34f9…cdf6backed Yes54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…ec61backed Yes72c54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+232.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff5f…5ca7backed No43c53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ba…f15dbacked Yes72c53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1267…be3abacked No28c52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59cb…3d95backed No42c52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x137a…a35abacked No28c51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1662…c4e1backed Yes72c51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb802…e304backed Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa70b…ca36backed Yes54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x467d…6a40backed No39c49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…d702backed Yes72c47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…6a21backed Yes72c46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba73…9fdabacked Yes72c46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x868a…a7e7backed No28c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2984…f9a4backed No28c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbd…3dd5backed Yes54c43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fa…0f22backed Yes72c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x943a…21e7backed No42c42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d5…f608backed No39c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc43b…df18backed No28c42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2328…06fcbacked Yes72c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7387…c728backed Yes54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cc…0d20backed Yes72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf14c…7ad5backed No28c39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfd…423bbacked Yes72c39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6e…18dbbacked No28c39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02f3…67fabacked Yes72c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff0…0619backed No28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d34…ba9dbacked No28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419f…575bbacked Yes72c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0566…6d2abacked Yes72c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ae…8094backed Yes72c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfef6…eb39backed Yes72c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd198…6c0fbacked Yes72c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xace4…7f6abacked Yes72c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d4…d952backed No42c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c88…7013backed Yes72c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d75…af36backed Yes72c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.963100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe068…c5eabacked No58c30.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd932…72b8backed Yes60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x353f…271ebacked Yes54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a8…3ae7backed Yes60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5234…8babbacked Yes72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5862…8dbbbacked No42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa43c…4b2ebacked Yes58c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x192b…1bebbacked Yes72c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d41…3533backed Yes72c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510b…206fbacked Yes58c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d6…1943backed Yes58c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a8…c1cebacked Yes54c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.