Champions League · resolved market
Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fbed1c5ca206c6286ac88cbfe5d5c75ca95d029e65e9e620b32556b50c7a849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a72…0079backed No | 15c | 378$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x390a…145bbacked No | 15c | 355$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4120…153dbacked Yes | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a6…469dbacked No | 15c | 342$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc08f…c08ebacked No | 31c | 322$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 78c | 312.98$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3148…962bbacked No | 15c | 310$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a1…895ebacked No | 15c | 294$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…2931backed No | 15c | 285$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…0315backed No | 15c | 284$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ef…694bbacked No | 15c | 276$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…e36fbacked No | 31c | 269$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d9…8b62backed No | 15c | 247$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +300%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…5908backed No | 30c | 244$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9aa…f496backed No | 15c | 242$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…95a3backed No | 19c | 220$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +229.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…6464backed No | 15c | 218$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…6242backed No | 30c | 211$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…9761backed No | 19c | 210$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85da…fd00backed No | 16c | 207$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +204.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…a8c6backed No | 15c | 204$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…3a94backed No | 31c | 192$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7f…69c1backed No | 30c | 162$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…9f76backed No | 15c | 162$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…6376backed No | 30c | 152$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1481…45c2backed No | 24c | 149$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…d1bcbacked No | 15c | 145$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31b…ba43backed No | 32c | 141$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…eb53backed No | 15c | 141$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +306.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0216…e69fbacked No | 16c | 141$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c4…22cebacked No | 15c | 141$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd54f…c2febacked No | 30c | 135$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fb…bcdfbacked No | 15c | 134$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcf…6ba0backed No | 15c | 130$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd6…a6eabacked No | 15c | 130$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda5…c782backed No | 15c | 130$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a84…01c2backed No | 30c | 129$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +156%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…0283backed No | 15c | 128$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b32…5017backed No | 15c | 128$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 18cpaid | +297.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…71bfbacked No | 15c | 126$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8ff2backed No | 15c | 125$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…8057backed No | 15c | 124$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff86…0374backed No | 15c | 123$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…0e22backed No | 30c | 122$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…c113backed No | 15c | 121$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbf…dd2abacked No | 15c | 121$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5990…fcbabacked Yes | 69c | 120$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…12e7backed No | 15c | 120$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +300.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9e43backed No | 15c | 120$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 16cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…6040backed No | 15c | 118$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…8182backed No | 30c | 118$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…bf8fbacked No | 15c | 118$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd0…313dbacked No | 15c | 118$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…b4ddbacked No | 15c | 117$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd1…c590backed No | 15c | 116.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…916cbacked No | 15c | 116$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…9f9dbacked No | 15c | 115$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c7…593abacked No | 15c | 115$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b70…07aebacked No | 15c | 114$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b0…113abacked No | 15c | 114$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…1ff5backed No | 15c | 114$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…d5acbacked No | 15c | 114$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8e…a2febacked No | 32c | 114$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660b…86e1backed No | 32c | 114$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…3e2abacked No | 15c | 113$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731a…885ebacked No | 16c | 113$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e19…e36ebacked No | 15c | 113$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…0518backed No | 30c | 112$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535d…0a3dbacked No | 15c | 112$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +320.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac10…0018backed No | 15c | 112$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b22…c2b6backed Yes | 69c | 111$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5a…8151backed No | 15c | 111$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f6…a38dbacked No | 15c | 110$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…8630backed No | 15c | 109$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 28cpaid | +358.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x393c…af99backed No | 15c | 108$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…098fbacked No | 30c | 108$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…1523backed No | 15c | 107$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3a…36d8backed No | 15c | 106$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…2a1abacked No | 15c | 105$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…c774backed No | 15c | 105$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…893fbacked No | 15c | 105$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4b…f5f5backed No | 15c | 104$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…7e7ebacked No | 32c | 104$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb983…f3debacked No | 15c | 103$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4525…cd7ebacked No | 15c | 102$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…e24dbacked No | 15c | 102$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc0…dba2backed No | 32c | 101$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…6a3fbacked No | 15c | 101$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +441.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aee…70afbacked No | 15c | 99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a7…063ebacked No | 15c | 99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +207.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…22debacked No | 15c | 99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd125…18dfbacked No | 30c | 99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…00fcbacked No | 20c | 98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…ba71backed Yes | 72c | 98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c7…495dbacked No | 16c | 98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…f6e4backed No | 15c | 98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c5…ce5abacked No | 15c | 97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…5234backed No | 15c | 97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce30…df76backed No | 15c | 97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?this page
- Will Ajax advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Athletic Bilbao advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Chelsea advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Copenhagen advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Kairat advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Liverpool advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Manchester City advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Marseille advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Pafos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Slavia Prague advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Union Saint-Gilloise advance to the round of 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.