Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x835162de4a8d5177579e7d2a659fa93b460f7cd8f378e0801610b2775dc6e4c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 77c | 2,676$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7666…1b9cbacked No | 50c | 1,979$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4c…fb98backed Yes | 50c | 1,979$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…74efbacked Yes | 50c | 1,979$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…cff9backed Yes | 2c | 1,613$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 4c | 1,417$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 55c | 1,140$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.28 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…c0d4backed No | 23c | 922$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…67fbbacked No | 23c | 909$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked No | 23c | 845$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked No | 52c | 772.44$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.44 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c236backed Yes | 54c | 657.28$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 623.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 8c | 561.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…03ffbacked Yes | 31c | 477.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 65c | 475.89$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.16 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 54c | 475.55$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 25c | 473.6$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.47 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed Yes | 56c | 430.09$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.48 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa630…2359backed Yes | 4c | 429.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…424cbacked Yes | 37c | 420$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 35c | 409.67$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.55 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 14c | 405.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 56c | 360.26$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.84 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed Yes | 5c | 305.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…2c1fbacked Yes | 6c | 253.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 22cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 14c | 253.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 103 | 21.4%22 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…60c2backed No | 35c | 230.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 14c | 215.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 39c | 208.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +41.8wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 78+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 22c | 207.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175f…374cbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -88%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 23c | 185.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 60c | 179.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 50c | 174.83$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 48c | 171.51$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 17c | 169.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 66c | 152.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…f795backed Yes | 67c | 146.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9af7…9314backed Yes | 79c | 139.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…ca44backed Yes | 59c | 138.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…7d7fbacked Yes | 24c | 138.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes | 73c | 137.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 32c | 126.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7911…1bb4backed No | 28c | 102.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +260.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 19c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed Yes | 26c | 94.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 19c | 90.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea1…9931backed No | 60c | 83.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00d…a887backed Yes | 74c | 81.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…9487backed Yes | 65c | 77.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 75c | 77.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…68e0backed Yes | 65c | 72.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 62.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30cc…5ed3backed No | 30c | 59.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3b…eef1backed Yes | 39c | 57.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…51dabacked No | 48c | 55.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked No | 53c | 54.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…ad2cbacked No | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 32c | 53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…a31ebacked No | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d19…fb97backed No | 35c | 51.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…2d9bbacked Yes | 58c | 51.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…967abacked No | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ff…f19dbacked Yes | 55c | 46.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…417dbacked Yes | 72c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 66c | 42.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…74ecbacked No | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 114 | 32.5%37 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…27aebacked No | 64c | 39.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…08fabacked No | 42c | 39.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…2599backed No | 44c | 39.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…ab8dbacked No | 45c | 33.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 52c | 31.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…d3d6backed Yes | 71c | 28.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…63edbacked Yes | 44c | 27.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff4…9cdcbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4a…1b2fbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4a…c3b0backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…f80dbacked Yes | 72c | 19.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?this page
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 1, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 5, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.