Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86a009703d4073a560f10cfba6e81da497546ea09fb1b8b66f05fd72c664c8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x968b…8e38backed Yes | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4c…fb98backed Yes | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8207…9b40backed No | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 39c | 1,525$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 952.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 58c | 603.13$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.75 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…424cbacked No | 67c | 554.49$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.94 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…006ebacked Yes | 77c | 517.69$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 18c | 505.79$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.75 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed Yes | 15c | 500$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +193.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa630…2359backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…7d7fbacked No | 32c | 422.31$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked Yes | 15c | 391.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 58c | 368.14$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.46 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 12c | 322.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…f5a1backed Yes | 73c | 315.39$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.72 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 22c | 308.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed Yes | 11c | 272.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Yes | 7c | 261.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed Yes | 15c | 250$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9274…734bbacked Yes | 7c | 238.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 29c | 237.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.77 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +41.8wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 78+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 19c | 225.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.37 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…f2f3backed No | 32c | 212.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed Yes | 12c | 212.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed Yes | 25c | 207.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…a2f8backed No | 34c | 200$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +8.3wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 66c | 199.57$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 37c | 171.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 167.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 8c | 164.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 27c | 158.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 31c | 150.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…22e4backed No | 28c | 150$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +11.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 142.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…b590backed Yes | 8c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes | 72c | 139.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 20c | 138.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed No | 19c | 129.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 41c | 126.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 72c | 119.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdea1…9931backed Yes | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed9…7405backed Yes | 15c | 108.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cb…f629backed Yes | 77c | 107.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…09afbacked Yes | 12c | 106.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…63edbacked Yes | 20c | 101.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 15c | 101.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed No | 27c | 91.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x491b…9aa2backed Yes | 57c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdb…df1ebacked Yes | 72c | 86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…5067backed Yes | 13c | 85.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 16c | 85.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…78abbacked Yes | 77c | 76.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…27aebacked Yes | 73c | 75.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…9edebacked No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…0a63backed Yes | 37c | 60.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked Yes | 68c | 52.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 35c | 51.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed Yes | 39c | 51.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd282…a206backed Yes | 73c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…d3a2backed Yes | 75c | 45.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +471%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ed…7c98backed Yes | 58c | 44.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…999fbacked No | 56c | 40.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…9774backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0583…4d75backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 31c | 34.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +16.4wins | +0.32per pick | 21cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 54c | 31.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…0de7backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…5c73backed Yes | 68c | 29.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Yes | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 43c | 26.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 103 | 21.4%22 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 47c | 24.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c51…b376backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…4fc0backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…69aebacked Yes | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…8cb6backed Yes | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a44…5616backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?this page
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 1, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 5, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.