World Politics · resolved market
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aa70effc51d25297ab371b90d9321d654c1c399c75fdecd6e8a892d9c8febfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 55c | 10,111$5,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,579.24 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 51c | 7,346$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.7 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 2c | 7,000$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…a0d8backed No | 1c | 6,679$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70be…044dbacked No | 3c | 5,954$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b72…beddbacked No | 2c | 5,907$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 1c | 5,535$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 28c | 5,430$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.27 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed No | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 3,385$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 9c | 3,339$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed No | 43c | 3,121$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2211…f15bbacked Yes | 74c | 3,106$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 45c | 2,983$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.23 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed No | 31c | 2,950$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.88 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…f927backed No | 68c | 2,800$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 63c | 2,722$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.49 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…47e9backed No | 26c | 2,697$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.78 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…4ab1backed Yes | 40c | 2,241$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 2c | 1,896$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…5dcdbacked No | 7c | 1,726$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 58c | 1,660$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.82 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a9…79bbbacked Yes | 64c | 1,649$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c594backed Yes | 29c | 1,559$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 21c | 1,513$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.89 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,496$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed No | 2c | 1,457$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,449$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.43 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 1,418$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 31c | 1,400$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.5 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 10c | 1,337$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2094…26e6backed No | 5c | 1,272$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 42c | 1,264$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.49 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb4…5071backed No | 1c | 1,156$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a1…4739backed No | 70c | 1,145$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 16c | 1,106$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.57 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 71c | 1,091$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.14 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…3ae9backed No | 5c | 1,084$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…83bcbacked Yes | 49c | 1,062$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.67 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…0327backed No | 1c | 1,033$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked No | 47c | 971$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed No | 27c | 947.19$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…0095backed Yes | 36c | 935.82$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 34c | 900$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked No | 38c | 865.6$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.85 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba60…b77fbacked Yes | 47c | 858.67$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…1598backed No | 1c | 825.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e8…d63ebacked No | 27c | 800$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 3c | 779.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…85b7backed Yes | 53c | 760$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…846bbacked No | 61c | 756.39$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 50c | 738.54$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.23 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed No | 43c | 697$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…f4d6backed No | 66c | 679.16$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 57c | 675$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 53c | 637$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f7c2backed Yes | 47c | 622.63$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +213.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed No | 46c | 592$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.32 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…4305backed No | 7c | 590.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…ea0ebacked No | 47c | 585$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 2c | 562.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949f…b038backed No | 8c | 538.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 4c | 506.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 56c | 503.36$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30f…9505backed Yes | 47c | 500$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 56c | 499.99$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c2…448abacked No | 4c | 486.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…3c98backed No | 59c | 469.46$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 3c | 456.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…1cf3backed No | 5c | 454.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 76c | 437.9$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 29c | 421$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked No | 4c | 407.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 40c | 405.8$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed Yes | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 4c | 396.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c73…c894backed Yes | 72c | 395.44$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638a…e7d6backed No | 8c | 362.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6144…2fffbacked Yes | 28c | 354.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc4…5180backed No | 9c | 345.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 25c | 333.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…7b14backed No | 24c | 330$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…df38backed No | 7c | 330$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…e891backed Yes | 40c | 302.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe336…44dcbacked Yes | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 298.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 21c | 285.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 29c | 280.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 53c | 277$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked Yes | 54c | 268$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes | 54c | 265$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 57c | 264.49$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 51c | 260$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 21c | 241.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x690b…eb44backed Yes | 61c | 234.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 30c | 227.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…cc85backed Yes | 71c | 225.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f3…4956backed No | 32c | 216.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.