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Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes9c3,341$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.8312743.3%55 W · 72 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ae…e13abacked Yes25c2,176$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb3…e367backed Yes10c2,054$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4628…ee62backed Yes27c1,782$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.14520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8609…9822backed Yes10c1,600$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2232…a794backed Yes28c1,556$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes3c1,549$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5312723.6%30 W · 97 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2982…b1cabacked Yes10c1,473$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b2…ea4ebacked Yes26c1,402$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes12c1,300$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.77020%14 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…0918backed Yes22c1,218$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd1…2bb3backed No78c1,206$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x605c…83dcbacked No72c1,116$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.17850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47d…907bbacked No73c1,089$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6705…7ddcbacked Yes28c1,073$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+120.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b2…0eb2backed Yes27c1,036$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95cc…f215backed No72c1,003$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+112.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc315…6411backed No73c990$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58fe…a8c5backed Yes22c982$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b45…836ebacked No78c944$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.68650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa15b…200fbacked No73c938$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes3c900$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302548%12 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5322…95e1backed No78c881$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.82580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x987e…990dbacked Yes28c862$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd2b…ebedbacked No73c828$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5516…2263backed Yes27c821$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7360%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffff…35bebacked No71c816$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.64580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9818…7cd3backed Yes27c796$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.92520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48a…fcd2backed Yes27c793$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28c8…a94dbacked Yes27c792$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedff…f3b7backed Yes10c787$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c785$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.59333%1 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe62…6d76backed Yes27c779$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8697…4165backed No71c770$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2d…caf4backed No72c769$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+59.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff5d…4e58backed No72c765$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+87.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb214…a6aabacked Yes29c762$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685b…3e12backed Yes10c733$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes32c724$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.681050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x252c…391abacked No73c712$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.24650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0042…e62fbacked No73c700$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18b…72bebacked Yes10c680$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd98f…5afdbacked No72c666$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No74c665$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8222633.2%75 W · 151 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdeac…95c6backed No68c660$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa947…09ebbacked Yes10c660$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc7…cf33backed Yes10c658$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab88…e0a4backed No69c657$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.431145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1b7…d913backed No73c649$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ec…62aabacked Yes29c647$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.461225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33e2…e1babacked No72c644$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb1…c4e8backed No68c643$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.761145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe6…d8e3backed No73c637$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+52.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdb7…6cd5backed Yes32c629$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.28933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09be…76d5backed Yes32c624$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.681020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-73.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc03…cd5cbacked No72c618$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+69%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe29…1201backed Yes10c615$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24010%4 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa756…b167backed No73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc450…a5b8backed Yes27c594$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.38520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes28c594$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f0f…98e8backed Yes28c592$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.76933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes27c591$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes10c584.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.58350.6%42 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes32c560$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.49944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x082b…4a7dbacked Yes9c560$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe373…3736backed Yes14c557.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab12…44d4backed Yes9c548$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f2…4d60backed Yes9c547$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb5f…f3dcbacked No69c546$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.261241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0da…3ff6backed Yes13c544.92$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8153backed Yes27c538$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceff…c39cbacked Yes10c537$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98cb…a127backed Yes27c535$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234a…cbffbacked No73c529$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa538…6810backed Yes10c527$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…fc69backed No73c524$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.484100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+162.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e29…d190backed No73c521$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed No72c499$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.911353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864a…9ed1backed Yes22c494$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ce…41e8backed Yes10c491$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a8…1f07backed Yes31c483$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.731145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec9…3e46backed No72c477$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1633…8bf6backed Yes27c476$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes10c475.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae4…d837backed No73c467$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed No72c462$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.36944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d17…0e2bbacked No72c458$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+247.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes8c451.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1554312%65 W · 478 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02b…e86dbacked Yes24c450$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.78450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fbf…7328backed Yes27c446$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes22c443$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.46520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0956…9aa4backed No73c428$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f3…af06backed Yes9c424$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed Yes29c423$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.571040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes35c417.44$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1917544%77 W · 98 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7fd…a3e1backed No72c412$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.06616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-76.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44ab…0b70backed Yes10c406$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41092.8%3 W · 106 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde2c…1bb3backed Yes9c395$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.