Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f78fd69fd6dafb695a8f4074dac11971b1da612bd150aa0c837efbd86417292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $478,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $451,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 478 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 29c | 35,170$10,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,261.31 | 173 | 52.6%91 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No | 73c | 34,051$24,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,262.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 76c | 28,005$21,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,773.57 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed Yes | 25c | 25,560$6,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,442.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 35c | 13,599$4,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,796.94 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 27c | 10,813$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.93 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 27c | 9,857$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.92 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 21c | 7,928$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.84 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 25c | 7,663$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.87 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf379…c1cabacked Yes | 27c | 6,556$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 22c | 5,971$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.45 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…b608backed Yes | 18c | 5,299$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 30c | 4,969$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.83 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +20.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 22c | 3,839$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.58 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 21c | 3,241$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…7f76backed Yes | 43c | 3,218$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 18c | 3,106$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.27 | 226 | 33.2%75 W · 151 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked Yes | 20c | 2,752$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.48 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 2,373$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.21 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 74c | 2,248$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 42c | 2,086$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.26 | 368 | 34.2%126 W · 242 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 78c | 2,075$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes | 23c | 2,038$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 32c | 2,028$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.82 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 75c | 2,009$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.79 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed No | 42c | 1,989$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,950$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 38c | 1,943$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.62 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed Yes | 57c | 1,907$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 1,849$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.75 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 42c | 1,740$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,600$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…fd7fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,553$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 1,512$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.49 | 354 | 34.7%123 W · 231 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked Yes | 58c | 1,484$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…d913backed No | 42c | 1,470$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Yes | 57c | 1,407$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 73c | 1,254$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.11 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed No | 42c | 1,231$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed Yes | 57c | 1,225$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 58c | 1,219$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 25c | 1,213$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.59 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed No | 73c | 1,205$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.2 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 66c | 1,204$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…cacebacked No | 41c | 1,195$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 77c | 1,194$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.37 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 57c | 1,176$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 17c | 1,140$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.72 | 126 | 23.8%30 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes | 58c | 1,121$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,076$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed No | 41c | 1,056$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 72c | 1,046$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.92 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 58c | 975$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed No | 80c | 933.19$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed No | 44c | 912$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked No | 58c | 908.06$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…1c15backed Yes | 57c | 891$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked No | 43c | 890$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Yes | 50c | 874.73$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.76 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked Yes | 58c | 870$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf7…5122backed Yes | 57c | 866$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae4…f84abacked No | 75c | 846.19$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 44c | 840$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked No | 43c | 835$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…fc43backed Yes | 58c | 815$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…f8c9backed Yes | 31c | 808.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…a62ebacked Yes | 37c | 805.88$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 38c | 802$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.76 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed No | 42c | 782$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 80c | 777.79$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed No | 42c | 770$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 68c | 766.74$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.79 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked No | 42c | 763$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes | 58c | 759$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 46c | 754.64$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.78 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…f1dbbacked No | 77c | 750$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed No | 43c | 749$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed No | 42c | 735$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 52c | 726.19$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.47 | 247 | 47.8%118 W · 129 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 28c | 719.42$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.23 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 41c | 718.33$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 58c | 718$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 57c | 702$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked No | 45c | 699$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed Yes | 58c | 697$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed No | 79c | 695.72$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 21c | 695.08$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed No | 42c | 692$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 42c | 690$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed No | 42c | 687$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 76c | 671.87$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.38 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed No | 43c | 669$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 28cpaid | +432.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed Yes | 59c | 662$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 9c | 660.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed No | 42c | 655$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked No | 43c | 654$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 36cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed No | 43c | 643$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Leisa Mitchell Haynes win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Matt Pinnell win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.