Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb07a22fd501dc1c8b1470b549b41af3b94551c80fcf0e124f14fe08e8577bb00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $366,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 28c | 31,166$8,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,751.32 | 173 | 52.6%91 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 75c | 26,013$19,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,468.79 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 23c | 10,177$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.63 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 34c | 9,663$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.37 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Yes | 75c | 7,845$5,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 8c | 7,064$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 23c | 6,102$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.61 | 163 | 25.8%42 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 18c | 5,983$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.59 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 77c | 5,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 16c | 4,754$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.83 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 77c | 4,387$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.82 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +20.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 30c | 4,168$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.7 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed No | 31c | 4,006$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 21c | 3,645$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.27 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 72c | 3,461$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 73c | 3,333$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.48 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 76c | 2,947$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.71 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 23c | 2,901$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.95 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 9c | 2,890$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…4fb2backed Yes | 80c | 2,669$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 1c | 2,301$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 23c | 2,287$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 78c | 2,142$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 74c | 2,095$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.51 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 36c | 2,025$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.52 | 368 | 34.2%126 W · 242 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 1c | 1,986$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 75c | 1,934$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.11 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 1,843$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.98 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed No | 35c | 1,815$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 13c | 1,800$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.42 | 255 | 36.5%93 W · 162 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed Yes | 78c | 1,758$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…dfb9backed Yes | 78c | 1,750$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 11c | 1,636$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 71c | 1,625$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.18 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 76c | 1,583$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.89 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 73c | 1,505$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.4 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 23c | 1,474$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.75 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 22c | 1,405$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.96 | 166 | 34.3%57 W · 109 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes | 70c | 1,399$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.57 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 11c | 1,315$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 18c | 1,314$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.36 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 22c | 1,247$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.77 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 27c | 1,206$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.75 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…7f76backed Yes | 71c | 1,163$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 75c | 1,161$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -70%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 12c | 1,141$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.1 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x704c…19afbacked Yes | 71c | 1,130$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 24c | 1,115$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.97 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 23c | 1,087$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…821fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,051$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed No | 26c | 1,020$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.37 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 27c | 1,019$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 29cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 29c | 986$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 127 | 23.6%30 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 18c | 979.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.81 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed No | 21c | 959.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 75c | 927.64$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 73c | 909$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.68 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 26c | 873.39$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.12 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…2b63backed Yes | 76c | 869.43$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.53 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 72c | 866$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 20c | 840.71$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.16 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 79c | 839.49$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.51 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 824.99$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.91 | 354 | 34.7%123 W · 231 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked No | 51c | 819$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.76 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 23c | 796.05$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.1 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -88%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 18c | 758.78$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 41c | 709.7$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.25 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked No | 45c | 708$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 22c | 704.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.96 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…7d80backed Yes | 80c | 694.02$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 35c | 685$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.75 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +9.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 69+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 22c | 671.9$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.71 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 38c | 668$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 126 | 23.8%30 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 56c | 663.54$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.3 | 251 | 32.7%82 W · 169 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 22c | 644.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 76c | 637.13$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.94 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 19c | 621.67$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…152abacked Yes | 77c | 605.28$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 29c | 570.83$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.11 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 29c | 566.16$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.14 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 23c | 556$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 16c | 537.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 543 | 12%65 W · 478 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 30c | 534.3$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 378 | 22.2%84 W · 294 L | -28.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 30c | 531.6$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.16 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -91%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 22c | 522.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 18c | 514.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 22c | 506.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 27c | 506.09$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 23c | 502.84$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes | 74c | 500$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…3781backed No | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 73c | 499.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 70c | 481$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802c…02f3backed Yes | 77c | 475.25$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfa…0298backed Yes | 80c | 470.66$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…b473backed Yes | 79c | 454.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 52c | 448.41$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.74 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Leisa Mitchell Haynes win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Matt Pinnell win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.