Australian A League · resolved market
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf5277a2216394b5a7acfc3c7fcc496f20c4ea07b309872a1d07c48103755562
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 18c | 3,472$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.03 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 3,425$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.58 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 11c | 3,287$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.56 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 24c | 1,093$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.55 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 23c | 1,037$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.47 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 62c | 967.68$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed Yes | 21c | 956$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 18c | 775.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.86 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed Yes | 18c | 755$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed Yes | 18c | 688$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 22c | 538.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.41 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 46c | 504.01$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.84 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…3562backed Yes | 16c | 497$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 15c | 483.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 16c | 469$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 460.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 459.22$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.46 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…2d93backed No | 79c | 426$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed Yes | 18c | 421$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed No | 79c | 414$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…a46fbacked Yes | 19c | 394.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…aa56backed Yes | 16c | 378$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed Yes | 16c | 312$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 19c | 309.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 16c | 261$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 68c | 241.57$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Yes | 44c | 229.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 52c | 215.08$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed Yes | 16c | 146$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked No | 67c | 134.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…ba59backed Yes | 75c | 130.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed No | 38c | 130.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…95debacked No | 79c | 116$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…75f2backed Yes | 45c | 110.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 20c | 102.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 32c | 97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 43c | 85.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…c634backed Yes | 33c | 77.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…7bfbbacked Yes | 19c | 75.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 62c | 71.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 79c | 55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 42c | 54.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 69c | 47.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…18f3backed Yes | 42c | 47.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…068dbacked No | 80c | 44.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +72%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 61c | 43.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 57c | 35.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 79c | 31.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 55c | 24.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfad…052ebacked Yes | 60c | 23.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed No | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-25?this page
- Will Macarthur FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.