World Politics · resolved market
Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab78a010cec1d360e82ea4f027fa60dca4dd83359bd1f292cbd105673beeb593
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 11,732$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 7c | 11,198$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 9,368$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.32 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…e0d3backed Yes | 3c | 8,534$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.35 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 6c | 8,437$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.51 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2c…3544backed Yes | 6c | 7,224$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…fbfebacked Yes | 6c | 6,883$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf5…a5e4backed Yes | 5c | 6,750$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…53cfbacked Yes | 8c | 5,592$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e34…4982backed Yes | 11c | 5,538$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.51 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…dbc4backed Yes | 11c | 4,921$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…359fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,870$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…febfbacked Yes | 8c | 4,169$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.39 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017d…963fbacked Yes | 8c | 4,058$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,007$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b8…e78fbacked Yes | 10c | 3,611$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…b5a4backed Yes | 18c | 3,495$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49b…602dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,458$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.29 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ace…24e2backed Yes | 9c | 3,306$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd103…0cf2backed Yes | 5c | 3,145$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…de55backed No | 78c | 2,983$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1829…7c25backed Yes | 7c | 2,952$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6997…8f2fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,864$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 8c | 2,783$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.84 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…8b9abacked Yes | 4c | 2,759$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8d…c5c9backed Yes | 7c | 2,745$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 9c | 2,598$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.42 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6049…5c72backed Yes | 5c | 2,575$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58a…25b6backed Yes | 6c | 2,433$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab1d…184dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,348$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Yes | 5c | 2,300$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe82e…ecaabacked Yes | 8c | 2,282$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.34 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 6c | 2,237$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…c7aabacked Yes | 6c | 2,011$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…07acbacked Yes | 6c | 2,003$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41d…c563backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…7cd6backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a5…0093backed Yes | 14c | 1,775$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…5215backed Yes | 16c | 1,759$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…1ab6backed Yes | 4c | 1,706$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e03…3b6dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,694$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0f…e9e0backed Yes | 7c | 1,650$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9f…5b06backed Yes | 7c | 1,531$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…9504backed Yes | 13c | 1,490$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3958…d3ddbacked Yes | 7c | 1,489$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaf…bf28backed Yes | 6c | 1,441$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 5c | 1,428$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44e8…535dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,414$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Yes | 7c | 1,363$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…d7fabacked Yes | 7c | 1,353$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c22…3bcbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,281$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…fa96backed Yes | 4c | 1,251$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…bf09backed Yes | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…53ddbacked Yes | 13c | 1,198$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 3c | 1,198$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a04…6b49backed Yes | 9c | 1,159$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed Yes | 7c | 1,129$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…0e7dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 7c | 1,085$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 6c | 1,023$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…5743backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa593…824ebacked Yes | 10c | 966.78$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…ba50backed Yes | 8c | 963.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed Yes | 8c | 950.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…c22bbacked Yes | 9c | 949.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62aa…b241backed Yes | 5c | 892.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…51f8backed Yes | 5c | 860.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…7cccbacked Yes | 5c | 840$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbb…bdd2backed Yes | 5c | 740.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078d…315ebacked Yes | 10c | 716.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…ceb2backed Yes | 6c | 715.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…e71abacked Yes | 3c | 693.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 5c | 662$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 658.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…4f18backed Yes | 9c | 543$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f7…5a2dbacked Yes | 19c | 532.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…a9d8backed Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…4a7dbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…7d09backed Yes | 4c | 485.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…9917backed Yes | 4c | 450.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…e353backed Yes | 7c | 420.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…2280backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…35acbacked Yes | 16c | 397.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 12c | 390$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…16d8backed Yes | 11c | 375$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d7…026fbacked Yes | 9c | 361.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…4b04backed Yes | 10c | 361.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…01c3backed Yes | 8c | 336.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 4c | 330$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 6c | 317.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd880…cb50backed Yes | 8c | 268.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 10c | 250$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…ef5dbacked Yes | 4c | 246$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…2420backed Yes | 7c | 241.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?this page
- Will another party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Green Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?Yes won
- Will the New Democratic Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the People's Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.