Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x254b40ff882ad3640735d293879eda34761fd580fd85e40a75ab2da9c4900c6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 63c | 17,315$10,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,466.71 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 6c | 7,895$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.04 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 29c | 6,597$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.26 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 35c | 4,515$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.1 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 52c | 4,064$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 71c | 2,780$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.6 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 62c | 2,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.81 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 46c | 2,365$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.21 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 36c | 2,322$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.94 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…fbd7backed Yes | 8c | 1,939$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 16c | 1,718$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.88 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 27c | 1,705$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.38 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 28c | 1,643$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.77 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 37c | 1,500$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 39c | 1,459$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.71 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 73c | 1,348$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.29 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 78c | 1,337$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…2747backed Yes | 63c | 1,327$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed No | 18c | 1,241$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.19 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 32c | 1,223$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.68 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 56c | 1,193$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.27 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 7c | 1,184$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.63 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +144%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 72c | 1,019$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf872…9b11backed No | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked No | 17c | 999.96$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 16c | 985.8$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.37 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…4a7dbacked Yes | 76c | 940.76$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.93 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 35c | 938.77$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.31 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 5c | 922.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 13c | 909.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 27c | 873$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.73 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 29c | 815.91$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.22 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 40c | 789.45$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.26 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 8c | 645.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…297bbacked Yes | 50c | 634.28$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 70c | 609$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 37c | 598.87$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.16 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 20c | 589$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 23c | 582.05$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.92 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 23c | 569.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.74 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 9c | 552.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 12c | 545$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.96 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 42c | 533.2$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.14 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 40c | 526.7$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.33 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 17c | 521$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.88 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 15c | 511.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.62 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 27c | 505.95$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 43c | 500.01$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 9c | 482.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.35 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 53c | 470.45$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.28 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 18c | 458.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 28c | 432.13$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 428$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 44c | 427.62$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 60c | 419.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 48c | 406.73$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.58 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked No | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.57 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 12c | 380.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.48 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 8c | 353.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 6c | 353.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.15 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 30c | 338.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 7c | 333$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 66c | 332.38$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.22 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 3c | 321.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 19c | 306.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.11 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 27c | 264.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.97 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 66c | 260$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 26c | 220.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 11c | 220.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.91 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 30c | 220$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 76c | 214.33$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Yes | 35c | 213.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 44c | 209.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 20c | 206.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 71c | 201$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 76c | 200$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 24c | 198.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 22c | 196.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.86 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Yes | 21c | 192.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 78c | 192.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 48c | 188.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked Yes | 59c | 180.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 72c | 179.85$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Yes | 18c | 171.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed Yes | 36c | 168$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 30cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 18c | 159$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 20c | 158$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 36c | 154.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 56c | 149.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 13c | 146.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.37 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053f…5f6dbacked Yes | 73c | 139.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…f1dbbacked Yes | 78c | 139.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 73c | 137.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecff…8d1cbacked Yes | 75c | 135.57$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…502fbacked Yes | 79c | 119$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Adam Steen win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Brad Sherman win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Eddie Andrews win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.