Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Indiana Hoosiers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50369067c89b210f50e121195c1e57a65bfb6a7d841cefc88da26b5d862fb820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Hoosiersof Marquette Golden Eagles, Indiana Hoosiers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 45c | 2,000$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.15 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 60c | 1,780$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.83 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e4…3d16backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 46c | 1,650$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…e088backed Indiana Hoosiers | 54c | 1,650$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…a978backed Indiana Hoosiers | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…595bbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 43c | 1,055$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.6 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 57c | 623.86$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Indiana Hoosiers | 59c | 271$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 12c | 268$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Indiana Hoosiers | 59c | 226$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Indiana Hoosiers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…cb64backed Indiana Hoosiers | 59c | 155.26$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 23c | 111.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…8afcbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…1323backed Indiana Hoosiers | 72c | 72.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Indiana Hoosiersthis page
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 151.5Over won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 153.5Over won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 154.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.