TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kansas Jayhawks vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Carolina Tar Heelsof Kansas Jayhawks, North Carolina Tar Heels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas Jayhawks42c8,631$3,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,664.1433438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels56c4,464$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.3712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Kansas Jayhawks45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Kansas Jayhawks50c2,027$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.87145.1%32 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina Tar Heels61c1,998$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.815,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Kansas Jayhawks36c1,525$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed North Carolina Tar Heels54c1,442$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.534037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed North Carolina Tar Heels57c1,305$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.153357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed North Carolina Tar Heels55c1,259$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.995850%29 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed North Carolina Tar Heels52c1,250$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.891,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kansas Jayhawks45c1,229$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.81,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked North Carolina Tar Heels55c1,216$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.821,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed North Carolina Tar Heels58c1,093$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.0636944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kansas Jayhawks44c1,054$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.471,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2022…04b8backed Kansas Jayhawks29c933.3$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.06633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed North Carolina Tar Heels57c881.55$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.554161%25 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecd3…4285backed North Carolina Tar Heels50c870.97$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d1…0c60backed North Carolina Tar Heels56c573.3$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x350d…b898backed Kansas Jayhawks44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd32…cb64backed North Carolina Tar Heels46c461.97$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.961250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels54c412$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.526043.3%26 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Kansas Jayhawks44c347.78$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2913936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed North Carolina Tar Heels58c322.41$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.412347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Kansas Jayhawks40c284.92$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.972020%4 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+452.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked North Carolina Tar Heels59c261$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.012429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked North Carolina Tar Heels57c256$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.085750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01da…bcd5backed Kansas Jayhawks46c248$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Kansas Jayhawks44c202$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8845644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed North Carolina Tar Heels59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8241554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8817051.2%87 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed North Carolina Tar Heels58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848737.9%33 W · 54 L-12.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc597…4ee7backed Kansas Jayhawks6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas Jayhawks43c200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Kansas Jayhawks66c180.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a8…57d5backed Kansas Jayhawks44c170.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kansas Jayhawks53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.51,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Kansas Jayhawks45c140.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7213227.3%36 W · 96 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Kansas Jayhawks46c134.43$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.847936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kansas Jayhawks46c131.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7152928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kansas Jayhawks31c129.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0960551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed North Carolina Tar Heels60c126.85$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7439144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed North Carolina Tar Heels60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.695570.9%39 W · 16 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed North Carolina Tar Heels48c123$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.973158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed North Carolina Tar Heels67c113.05$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4610041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x451a…444bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels57c105.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Kansas Jayhawks46c101$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.463748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed North Carolina Tar Heels39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6115442.9%66 W · 88 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked North Carolina Tar Heels57c98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.145250%26 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked North Carolina Tar Heels57c88.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.11973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Kansas Jayhawks41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f1f…0b36backed Kansas Jayhawks43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.25560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+206%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5781…95a2backed Kansas Jayhawks43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed North Carolina Tar Heels59c68.95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.277153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Kansas Jayhawks46c68.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2915124.5%37 W · 114 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x190a…b170backed Kansas Jayhawks41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa496…9eccbacked North Carolina Tar Heels57c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.654344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce9…636fbacked Kansas Jayhawks43c54.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa95f…8f33backed North Carolina Tar Heels58c50.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba47…bd7bbacked Kansas Jayhawks45c50.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed8…f07fbacked North Carolina Tar Heels61c49.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4e…53ecbacked North Carolina Tar Heels60c48.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe611…0ae4backed Kansas Jayhawks52c48.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked North Carolina Tar Heels43c46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.321,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5930…4680backed Kansas Jayhawks43c45.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad0…e255backed North Carolina Tar Heels58c39.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e76…7364backed North Carolina Tar Heels60c39.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Kansas Jayhawks51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…de36backed North Carolina Tar Heels59c34.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4285…b843backed Kansas Jayhawks45c32.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9074…d1b0backed Kansas Jayhawks42c31.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed North Carolina Tar Heels57c31.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.38955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed North Carolina Tar Heels40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Kansas Jayhawks56c28.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.351238.1%10 W · 113 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed73…d4d4backed North Carolina Tar Heels60c27.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe620…5d2fbacked North Carolina Tar Heels60c26.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c9…f8d9backed Kansas Jayhawks48c26.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb481…bb2cbacked North Carolina Tar Heels52c26.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9492…1f25backed Kansas Jayhawks50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.