NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa696b4ed502d38afcd01e6bae64e1ff5eab31b99dbf88b43c51b822b221245ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Timberwolves, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,905,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,943,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,905,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 501 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Lakers | 46c | 956,552$436,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520,223.39 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Timberwolves | 54c | 913,030$495,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495,666.52 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 55c | 161,116$88,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,526.65 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…ded0backed Timberwolves | 54c | 80,681$43,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,503.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 58c | 72,509$42,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,222.41 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Lakers | 46c | 62,065$28,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,736.94 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 43c | 53,774$23,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,472.99 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Timberwolves | 54c | 52,065$28,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,114.77 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…a199backed Timberwolves | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Lakers | 45c | 48,300$21,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,568.84 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Lakers | 52c | 33,021$17,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,849.98 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Timberwolves | 55c | 28,163$15,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,567.02 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Timberwolves | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lakers | 46c | 23,846$10,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,920.75 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Lakers | 40c | 23,360$9,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,084.14 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Lakers | 43c | 20,758$8,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,781.1 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…7ccbbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 20,731$11,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,779.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lakers | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lakers | 47c | 17,365$8,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,203.65 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 46c | 15,614$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,488.89 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…6e34backed Timberwolves | 50c | 15,542$7,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,771 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…0aefbacked Lakers | 50c | 15,542$7,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,771 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves | 35c | 15,233$5,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,323.32 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Lakers | 47c | 13,174$6,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,982.22 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Lakers | 46c | 12,500$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Lakers | 41c | 12,239$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,238.87 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Timberwolves | 55c | 11,322$6,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200.92 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Lakers | 39c | 10,165$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,164.65 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Lakers | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.97 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…3617backed Lakers | 75c | 9,722$7,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Lakers | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Lakers | 70c | 7,559$5,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.34 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Lakers | 46c | 7,299$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.24 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Timberwolves | 65c | 6,820$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.34 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Timberwolves | 58c | 6,817$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.74 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lakers | 49c | 6,779$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.4 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Lakers | 49c | 6,324$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.23 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Lakers | 47c | 6,257$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.61 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Lakers | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Timberwolves | 56c | 6,250$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 5,369$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.68 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Timberwolves | 2c | 5,209$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Timberwolves | 22c | 5,003$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lakers | 52c | 4,700$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.24 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Lakers | 44c | 4,680$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.53 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Timberwolves | 64c | 4,579$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.82 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 4,565$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 1c | 4,429$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Timberwolves | 32c | 4,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 43c | 3,871$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.17 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 3,841$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.41 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Timberwolves | 42c | 3,678$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Lakers | 45c | 3,598$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.02 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 3,345$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.3 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Lakers | 47c | 3,300$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ae…82aabacked Timberwolves | 39c | 3,300$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…2b8cbacked Lakers | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Timberwolves | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 55c | 2,844$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.57 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Lakers | 55c | 2,744$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.86 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Timberwolves | 57c | 2,642$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Timberwolves | 54c | 2,639$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Timberwolves | 29c | 2,580$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.75 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed Timberwolves | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,500$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Timberwolves | 55c | 2,477$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.09 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 28c | 2,383$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,217$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.66 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Timberwolves | 43c | 2,181$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.23 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Lakers | 44c | 2,145$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.63 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Lakers | 43c | 2,137$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.8 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 47c | 2,113$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.82 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Lakers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Lakers | 52c | 1,979$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.01 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Lakers | 45c | 1,977$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.26 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lakers | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.52 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb644…d6e1backed Timberwolves | 24c | 1,666$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.8 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 27c | 1,622$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.93 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…dc82backed Timberwolves | 10c | 1,600$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers | 45c | 1,596$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.93 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…0fb2backed Timberwolves | 55c | 1,545$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Timberwolves | 23c | 1,522$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Timberwolves | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,498$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.01 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…42e9backed Lakers | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Lakers | 45c | 1,475$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.74 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Lakers | 43c | 1,467$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.69 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 1,320$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lakers | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,252$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.97 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,250$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 45c | 1,250$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Lakers | 42c | 1,245$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,223$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.83 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 2c | 1,104$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Lakers | 46c | 1,090$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.59 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Lakers | 46c | 1,088$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.16 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Lakers won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.