TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Rangers, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$563,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$698,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Rangers41c108,441$44,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,496.4138748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Avalanche60c97,962$58,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,184.612254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Rangers37c74,843$27,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,605.7517749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche57c50,000$28,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,35042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Avalanche63c20,133$12,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,449.2157453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Rangers35c14,780$5,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,172.8522550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche64c14,543$9,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,276.21,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Rangers36c12,676$4,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,515.8427143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rangers36c12,536$4,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,512.9988151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche64c11,991$7,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,374.271,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Rangers34c8,994$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,058.1170547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rangers41c8,270$3,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,355.632,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Avalanche64c8,049$5,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,876.262249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche64c8,000$5,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.961,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Avalanche63c7,595$4,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.0928353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff1…d32bbacked Avalanche63c7,247$4,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.522254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Avalanche68c6,978$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.7138738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Rangers6c6,602$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.8418237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Avalanche63c5,202$3,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.7293953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Avalanche64c5,125$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8453557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Avalanche65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Rangers34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70010352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Avalanche63c4,500$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,66530447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63d0…87ccbacked Rangers35c3,800$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Avalanche53c3,795$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.3111051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b68…6f4ebacked Rangers35c3,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5806…5863backed Rangers35c3,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a89…bfddbacked Rangers35c3,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Rangers37c3,500$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29551045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers52c3,423$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.7895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Avalanche58c3,402$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.7310565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x24b1…5163backed Rangers34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Rangers34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7340…4656backed Rangers35c2,800$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Rangers36c2,784$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.4431148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Avalanche64c2,588$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.5169550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c3…7b91backed Rangers37c2,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Rangers35c2,476$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.5430152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche68c2,437$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.631,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Avalanche64c2,344$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.7415954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers52c2,332$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.263,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Rangers44c2,267$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.349949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Avalanche66c2,183$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.2524749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Rangers35c2,029$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Avalanche64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72011946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae3…fad6backed Avalanche63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Avalanche63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7407338.4%28 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x826d…9947backed Avalanche65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7004100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x546a…4c9bbacked Avalanche64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50d3…af3ebacked Avalanche65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7990…53d0backed Rangers36c1,950$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf507…b7d1backed Avalanche65c1,800$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6303100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dbe…2516backed Avalanche65c1,800$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Rangers35c1,700$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59524845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…4ec7backed Avalanche65c1,700$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.993100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c8…f6e0backed Avalanche65c1,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5603100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd6…3779backed Avalanche65c1,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe20…c1d8backed Avalanche65c1,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461f…582fbacked Avalanche65c1,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x631d…4759backed Avalanche66c1,429$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaad…5287backed Rangers35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Avalanche65c1,415$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.2587447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…3e55backed Avalanche65c1,400$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers46c1,357$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.6852172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Avalanche62c1,335$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.482339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Rangers30c1,307$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.681,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rangers1c1,222$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Avalanche64c1,200$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42968449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Avalanche66c1,200$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4082161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Avalanche63c1,174$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.4617744.6%79 W · 98 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers40c1,161$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.761,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers36c1,110$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.591,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0c…0b98backed Avalanche66c1,061$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ebb…3876backed Rangers35c1,043$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Rangers23c1,022$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.526434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche63c1,011$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.071,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea93…8159backed Rangers35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Avalanche65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35033447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x669c…6c54backed Avalanche66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3404967.3%33 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+30.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Rangers41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41020751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Avalanche66c949.94$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd2e…5c30backed Rangers35c934.34$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.024238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Avalanche63c883.92$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.0563249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed Avalanche46c877.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.565354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche65c806$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.781,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Rangers39c805.5$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.1138744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rangers50c798$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39962951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Avalanche65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.232556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Avalanche66c758$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.7247051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e17…f41ebacked Avalanche67c753.28$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Avalanche64c750$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.58645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Avalanche71c708.01$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0116766.5%111 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42dd…2d1dbacked Avalanche65c700$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Rangers34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23851044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0832…4130backed Avalanche65c650$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche64c615.49$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.191,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Rangers41c604.74$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4658467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x87ce…3ba3backed Avalanche65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.