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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alabama Crimson Tideof Alabama Crimson Tide, Illinois Fighting Illini
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57a8…6933backed Alabama Crimson Tide43c10,686$4,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,103.8974649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Illinois Fighting Illini57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.992729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Illinois Fighting Illini59c7,577$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,44410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Illinois Fighting Illini30c6,399$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.846457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Illinois Fighting Illini33c6,195$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.921,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Alabama Crimson Tide49c4,431$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.6955657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Illinois Fighting Illini58c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32084147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Alabama Crimson Tide42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,32022645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide41c2,951$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fe…aff8backed Alabama Crimson Tide78c2,736$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.34887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick47cpaid+487.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Illinois Fighting Illini61c2,507$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.62,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Alabama Crimson Tide68c2,243$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.9115556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Alabama Crimson Tide46c2,192$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.8333438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Alabama Crimson Tide37c2,100$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3232250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Illinois Fighting Illini63c2,100$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3231650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alabama Crimson Tide63c1,725$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.545,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Illinois Fighting Illini58c1,711$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Alabama Crimson Tide41c1,576$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.811,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Alabama Crimson Tide67c1,429$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.512,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Illinois Fighting Illini30c1,218$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.342,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Illinois Fighting Illini25c1,116$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.441,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Alabama Crimson Tide43c1,114$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6358356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Illinois Fighting Illini42c1,000$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.945556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf936…f310backed Illinois Fighting Illini57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Alabama Crimson Tide60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003016.7%5 W · 25 L-7.2wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-69.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide42c973.93$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.0653057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide37c924.45$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.961,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Illinois Fighting Illini49c682.82$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.265,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb29…358ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.562556%14 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd32…cb64backed Illinois Fighting Illini51c517.48$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.521250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Alabama Crimson Tide40c495.95$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.579148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Alabama Crimson Tide42c459.26$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.3841554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ebb…017abacked Illinois Fighting Illini61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe611…0ae4backed Illinois Fighting Illini38c315.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Illinois Fighting Illini60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808737.9%33 W · 54 L-12.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Alabama Crimson Tide48c297.2$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8445644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini65c291.35$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.697061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Illinois Fighting Illini64c281.25$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0894…d8d1backed Illinois Fighting Illini26c269.37$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Illinois Fighting Illini60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide72c236.63$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.271,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Illinois Fighting Illini55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1219151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Illinois Fighting Illini35c217.91$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.727864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Illinois Fighting Illini26c213$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.68714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-79.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Illinois Fighting Illini59c198.23$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9625130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa9…1351backed Illinois Fighting Illini51c196.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bb6…5154backed Illinois Fighting Illini60c184.67$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Illinois Fighting Illini60c166.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.062462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Illinois Fighting Illini61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Illinois Fighting Illini34c160.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.392334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Illinois Fighting Illini55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.55644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Alabama Crimson Tide39c138.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1413227.3%36 W · 96 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide34c123$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.931,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5b…a891backed Illinois Fighting Illini60c122.28$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.371414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-65.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x28b1…5a3fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide43c117.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini41c106.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.978341%34 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed Illinois Fighting Illini10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10954.2%4 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-86%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5929444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc597…4ee7backed Alabama Crimson Tide75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Illinois Fighting Illini56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini29c85.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.983993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Illinois Fighting Illini38c78.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.641,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf4…d85fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini64c75.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Illinois Fighting Illini33c74.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.995570.9%39 W · 16 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Alabama Crimson Tide74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.322673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini62c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.42853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0e…6576backed Alabama Crimson Tide42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Alabama Crimson Tide69c69.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.413,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Illinois Fighting Illini60c61.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.816355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Illinois Fighting Illini33c56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2217647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alabama Crimson Tide42c56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.442,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Alabama Crimson Tide46c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.297660.5%46 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6077…f4f4backed Illinois Fighting Illini33c50.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.647245.8%33 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide39c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.713343.6%58 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f3…bb7fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini28c49.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc6…ae83backed Illinois Fighting Illini65c49.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Alabama Crimson Tide43c47.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.319055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Alabama Crimson Tide35c46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.929012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb317…1893backed Illinois Fighting Illini59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked Illinois Fighting Illini38c39.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157254.2%39 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f1…d83fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Illinois Fighting Illini60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205459.3%32 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Illinois Fighting Illini62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206357.1%36 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Alabama Crimson Tide39c32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5217740.7%72 W · 105 L-0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcadc…f4cbbacked Illinois Fighting Illini59c28.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3304…7048backed Alabama Crimson Tide72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd52…bbccbacked Illinois Fighting Illini58c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-58.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Illinois Fighting Illini57c24.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.161,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed Alabama Crimson Tide67c23.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Illinois Fighting Illini58c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.185570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb12…6a49backed Illinois Fighting Illini59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.