Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duke Blue Devils vs. Kansas Jayhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea2bc086b30d19aa435416b24f7adf3f36ce2e3c59dcf5985b6c59d72fc8ca71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Duke Blue Devils, Kansas Jayhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 13c | 5,489$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 5,158$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.99 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Kansas Jayhawks | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Kansas Jayhawks | 18c | 3,094$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.49 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Kansas Jayhawks | 38c | 2,545$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.48 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 1,867$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.62 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Kansas Jayhawks | 12c | 1,777$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.26 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +452.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 14c | 962.14$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kansas Jayhawks | 22c | 919$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.78 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b4…27f7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 8c | 800$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Kansas Jayhawks | 15c | 700$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…cb64backed Duke Blue Devils | 75c | 509.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c60…b0ccbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Kansas Jayhawks | 14c | 353$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 24c | 305$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kansas Jayhawks | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 14c | 258.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 231.93$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kansas Jayhawks | 8c | 187.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 8c | 181.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 7c | 155.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…a28ebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kansas Jayhawks | 13c | 101$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas Jayhawks | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…61afbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 14c | 81.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas Jayhawks | 27c | 71.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 19c | 61.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.