TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas Longhorns vs. Arizona State Sun Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona State Sun Devilsof Texas Longhorns, Arizona State Sun Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,521 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Arizona State Sun Devils52c7,252$3,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,502.5569142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Longhorns74c4,915$3,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,657.872,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Arizona State Sun Devils26c4,249$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.565,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Arizona State Sun Devils24c4,176$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,172.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Arizona State Sun Devils28c3,770$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.617251.4%37 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Arizona State Sun Devils27c3,700$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.993158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils22c3,226$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,516.492040%8 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Texas Longhorns72c2,403$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.1612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Arizona State Sun Devils16c2,200$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.28643%37 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Arizona State Sun Devils24c2,100$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+85.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Texas Longhorns51c2,092$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.746457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd162…0d24backed Texas Longhorns58c1,726$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.211323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Arizona State Sun Devils38c1,698$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.192,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa9…1351backed Arizona State Sun Devils24c1,691$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.342222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas Longhorns75c1,639$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.551,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.576852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Arizona State Sun Devils34c1,381$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.151258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Arizona State Sun Devils24c999.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.993534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arizona State Sun Devils37c968.98$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.061,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Arizona State Sun Devils44c937.82$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.08540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Texas Longhorns76c888.41$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.14616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-64.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e5c…c9eebacked Arizona State Sun Devils25c813.52$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.273174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3b…b511backed Texas Longhorns77c800$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6161414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.3wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-76.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Texas Longhorns78c705.73$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b0…28f6backed Texas Longhorns76c654.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfc…0fc2backed Texas Longhorns77c640.62$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Texas Longhorns72c548.07$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.6117650.6%89 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Texas Longhorns72c547$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.8474649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Arizona State Sun Devils29c532.74$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.085137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Texas Longhorns59c443.75$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.8112435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca73…b02ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils25c415$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.61010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Arizona State Sun Devils24c407.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.071,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Arizona State Sun Devils21c379.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.42633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Texas Longhorns76c369.74$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28012245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Arizona State Sun Devils40c339.49$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.993551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Texas Longhorns69c330$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.31,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Texas Longhorns77c324.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8161…99dabacked Texas Longhorns75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c87…bf18backed Texas Longhorns75c291.87$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Arizona State Sun Devils25c288.04$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.2423941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils18c271.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.551,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb16c…4ceabacked Texas Longhorns59c246.91$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.462360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Arizona State Sun Devils25c236.14$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1411136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Texas Longhorns73c235.4$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.841,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Arizona State Sun Devils25c220$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick19cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Arizona State Sun Devils26c191.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.561,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils24c160$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.62853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Texas Longhorns73c150$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.57864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Texas Longhorns60c149$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.41850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc5…6092backed Arizona State Sun Devils40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Texas Longhorns79c110.97$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.678956.2%50 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Arizona State Sun Devils28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe40…3dccbacked Texas Longhorns76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1406…7683backed Arizona State Sun Devils17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…d868backed Arizona State Sun Devils19c99.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid+31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd64…cbeebacked Arizona State Sun Devils25c99.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.994148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fa…6745backed Arizona State Sun Devils41c97.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a9f…4cc8backed Arizona State Sun Devils46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Texas Longhorns58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arizona State Sun Devils23c84.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.955,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x58d4…ee79backed Texas Longhorns58c82.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils24c82.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.717061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e65…19cfbacked Texas Longhorns71c80$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f1…c325backed Arizona State Sun Devils29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+72.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Arizona State Sun Devils45c65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.973,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils29c63.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.294,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d7…95d4backed Arizona State Sun Devils35c55.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f7…919bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils47c55.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.321040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Texas Longhorns61c51.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7734952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x094e…d40ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd32…cb64backed Texas Longhorns59c49.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f12…f98ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x141c…16ebbacked Texas Longhorns56c31.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.47425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec20…fb93backed Texas Longhorns74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de0…a754backed Texas Longhorns74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc297…b0d2backed Texas Longhorns59c24.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-57.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3778…8604backed Texas Longhorns74c23.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.115550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Texas Longhorns75c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2457…54acbacked Texas Longhorns76c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9b…f8efbacked Texas Longhorns74c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5514…72bdbacked Texas Longhorns78c13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.141450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.