NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9913986d4ac481d23b01d2c03157b6c701e0a164e61f5f17c2d6580763c34690
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Lightning, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Avalanche | 58c | 109,895$64,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,877.37 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Lightning | 42c | 71,933$30,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,199.66 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 42c | 52,013$21,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,784 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Lightning | 43c | 44,455$19,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,051.7 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Avalanche | 58c | 38,409$22,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,981.85 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Avalanche | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 57c | 13,888$7,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,971.79 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Lightning | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Avalanche | 57c | 8,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Lightning | 41c | 7,167$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.52 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Lightning | 41c | 7,057$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.21 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Lightning | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Lightning | 24c | 5,699$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.83 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 16c | 5,020$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.75 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Avalanche | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Avalanche | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Avalanche | 63c | 4,839$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Avalanche | 58c | 4,830$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.6 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Avalanche | 58c | 4,551$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.38 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lightning | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 42c | 3,860$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.2 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lightning | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Lightning | 43c | 3,405$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.62 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa096…aa97backed Avalanche | 58c | 3,207$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Lightning | 34c | 3,196$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.98 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Lightning | 42c | 2,660$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.14 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Avalanche | 56c | 2,328$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.32 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,322$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.46 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Avalanche | 57c | 2,281$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.7 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Lightning | 42c | 2,250$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Lightning | 42c | 2,154$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.26 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Lightning | 45c | 2,000$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.03 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed Avalanche | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Avalanche | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Lightning | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Avalanche | 57c | 1,770$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.1 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Avalanche | 55c | 1,603$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.35 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Lightning | 25c | 1,557$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.53 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Lightning | 12c | 1,517$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lightning | 17c | 1,394$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.34 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Avalanche | 58c | 1,347$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.74 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 56c | 1,283$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.47 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lightning | 9c | 1,263$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Lightning | 43c | 1,250$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lightning | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…26aabacked Avalanche | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…08d7backed Lightning | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ea…be40backed Avalanche | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lightning | 36c | 914$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.64 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b8…6631backed Lightning | 41c | 900$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…8713backed Avalanche | 58c | 850.53$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.22 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…19ffbacked Lightning | 43c | 850.53$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Avalanche | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Lightning | 10c | 806.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Lightning | 14c | 803$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lightning | 41c | 797.32$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.28 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Lightning | 41c | 775$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.75 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche | 57c | 750$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa13e…7448backed Avalanche | 58c | 698$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…7e7fbacked Lightning | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Avalanche | 58c | 696.34$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Avalanche | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Avalanche | 58c | 600$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Lightning | 41c | 572$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.52 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche | 64c | 571.97$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Lightning | 41c | 570.69$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.98 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…e0d5backed Lightning | 43c | 543.3$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…9417backed Avalanche | 58c | 543.3$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Avalanche | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb5…24d2backed Avalanche | 59c | 510.17$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65f…2c7cbacked Avalanche | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Lightning | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Lightning | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…bffcbacked Lightning | 42c | 426.19$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…6661backed Avalanche | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3cb4backed Avalanche | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Lightning | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Lightning | 42c | 385$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Lightning | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Avalanche | 57c | 348.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.71 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Avalanche | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Avalanche | 77c | 307.01$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Lightning | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Avalanche | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Avalanche | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 30c | 282.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Lightning | 43c | 277.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Avalanche | 57c | 266.84$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…59e7backed Avalanche | 58c | 255.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Lightning | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Avalanche | 57c | 249.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 43c | 246.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Avalanche | 57c | 243.86$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Lightning | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…aec0backed Avalanche | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Lightning | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Avalanche | 44c | 229.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.81 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…3f01backed Lightning | 41c | 228.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.93 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Avalanchethis page
- Lightning vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.