TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Flames

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$274,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Flames47c46,542$21,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,740.611955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Flames47c37,319$17,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,424.3217749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8de…6d98backed Jets22c11,800$2,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,204250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…a836backed Flames78c11,800$9,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,204250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Jets53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Flames34c9,054$3,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,071.8627143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Jets54c8,995$4,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,137.770547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Jets54c8,840$4,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,066.3828353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Flames1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets55c8,000$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,559.931,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jets53c7,947$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,734.922,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets53c7,500$3,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5251,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Flames44c6,589$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.388151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets80c6,578$5,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.931,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jets56c6,023$3,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,644.631,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Flames45c5,995$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.541,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Flames44c5,200$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28862951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets55c5,113$2,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.7986649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jets58c5,045$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.032,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Jets56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20010352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flames46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Jets55c4,992$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.7475251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jets53c4,733$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.462,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jets53c4,528$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.1652050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets56c4,500$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,99066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Jets56c4,500$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…1ed3backed Jets54c4,380$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.82755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Jets54c3,887$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.0230551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jets56c3,854$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.831,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jets53c3,647$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.5987447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Jets54c3,617$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.89251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Jets56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.4329651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jets57c3,266$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.052,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Flames45c3,156$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.226946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Flames46c3,035$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.861,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Jets53c3,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40014945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbdd…5905backed Jets56c2,965$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Jets55c2,820$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26917744.6%79 W · 98 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Flames45c2,743$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.4930152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Flames45c2,739$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.821,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jets72c2,645$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.9961848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Flames45c2,614$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.2557453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Flames45c2,539$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.5538844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Flames46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1502934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Jets56c2,054$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.7954047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jets53c2,051$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.971,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jets54c2,049$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.4969550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jets53c1,992$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.1992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Flames43c1,845$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.9283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Flames45c1,780$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.9961959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Flames47c1,643$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jets56c1,553$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.6338738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jets53c1,533$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.2839047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jets54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…67cdbacked Jets54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dad…805abacked Flames45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+65.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flames44c1,381$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.4747951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Jets55c1,373$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.7343743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Flames32c1,319$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.1214344.1%63 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Flames44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5285253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Jets54c1,187$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.0410456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Flames45c1,150$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.524845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Flames1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Flames45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45032648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Flames44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44014451.4%74 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jets58c998.84$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.4695049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Flames43c963.9$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.4830552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Jets52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.546253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Jets54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9312742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Flames28c923$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.0782043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc465…25b5backed Jets55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.091428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Flames34c836.36$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3685464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jets53c780$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.321,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Jets56c776.99$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.8889249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Jets56c771.77$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.5810658.5%62 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Jets54c750$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.545955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Jets54c750$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.56648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Jets54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.741450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jets53c594$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.1872847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Jets55c555.56$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25018840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Jets55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.458648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Flames11c545$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9529412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Flames43c541.66$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.9119942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Jets76c538$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1752172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Flames47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jets56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22019548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Jets55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22511253.6%60 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Flames44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22021147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Jets54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2305549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2615…6c59backed Flames12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601625%4 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+119.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Flames29c449.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.691,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Flames45c439.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets56c432.96$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6768449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Flames13c430$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.12657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Jets79c429.81$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.889562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Jets73c417.88$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8810160.4%61 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Flames45c405$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2510554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Jets56c393.47$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.838052.5%42 W · 38 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Jets56c392.15$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.896431.3%20 W · 44 L-11.1wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Jets55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.645837.9%22 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.