Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70ac172a1fb87191c43ea70ecfd8ac45d0187955f14dcf92af1de1d0bc423347
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois Fighting Illiniof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Illinois Fighting Illini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 39c | 1,612$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.38 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 13c | 660$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 63c | 632.68$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.02 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 31c | 593$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.46 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 60c | 386.52$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 71c | 370.75$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 79c | 326.7$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 67c | 310$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…0381backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 62c | 299.64$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.12 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 61c | 262$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 40c | 246.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…cb64backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 62c | 228$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…c067backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 23c | 155$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836d…1012backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…8781backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 16c | 89.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 41c | 31.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1fa0backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecb…7824backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf080…7e38backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.