TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fokinaof Fokina, Royer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$426,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$479,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Royer45c140,000$62,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,954.137857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Fokina56c94,746$52,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,094.3510845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fokina70c29,558$20,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,973.678,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Royer33c22,303$7,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,398.0416644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Fokina67c14,371$9,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,711.132864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x286c…caffbacked Fokina68c10,489$7,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,366.061675%12 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Royer35c10,264$3,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,636.592,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Fokina71c8,999$6,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.792450%12 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Royer31c8,209$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.891,21746.3%563 W · 654 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Fokina55c7,040$3,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.863857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Fokina65c6,847$4,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.5165242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Royer37c5,369$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.012,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fokina75c5,233$3,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.324544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Royer50c4,966$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.812152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Fokina40c4,611$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,756.296549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Royer43c4,379$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.3352844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Royer44c4,260$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.0724841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Royer32c3,822$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.037342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Fokina57c3,775$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.47152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Fokina73c3,379$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.27062.9%44 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Fokina69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9302520%5 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Fokina59c2,725$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.45448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Fokina72c2,503$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.145362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fokina65c2,370$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.356,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Fokina66c2,311$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.717356.2%41 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Royer36c2,249$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.9818237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Fokina69c2,174$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.9629152.6%153 W · 138 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Royer30c2,107$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.4911123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fad…b5b2backed Fokina45c2,033$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.912128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5844…aa7ebacked Royer5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Royer5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Fokina68c1,975$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63259151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39b…c698backed Royer36c1,872$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.92450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec5…8035backed Fokina64c1,872$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Fokina68c1,844$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.263265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b04…e7c7backed Fokina65c1,839$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8384…b597backed Royer35c1,839$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf72…a19fbacked Fokina68c1,768$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.852572%18 W · 7 L+5.9wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+97.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Fokina64c1,676$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.4315832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Fokina73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4051258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e80…09b8backed Fokina70c1,488$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.111752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Royer34c1,400$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.1544125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Royer34c1,273$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.4855143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc7…cf36backed Fokina69c1,254$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.62955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdad2…98c6backed Fokina65c1,233$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Fokina44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3614546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fokina75c1,066$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.361,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Fokina69c1,000$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.910060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd595…b30bbacked Fokina70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Royer35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-57.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Fokina46c968.18$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.685339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Fokina76c921.03$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.051566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Royer37c885.07$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.6311,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Fokina77c860.3$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.39452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x270c…f377backed Fokina67c838.96$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.692254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Fokina61c800.88$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.5857649.5%285 W · 291 L-32.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9794…1d5fbacked Fokina66c752.01$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Royer38c718.96$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6430739.1%120 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Royer3c682.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Fokina69c660.87$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8715862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Fokina76c657.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.991827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Fokina50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Royer34c591.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Royer34c576.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.171428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Fokina58c554.99$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.14654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Royer16c549.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9019131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Royer49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24543042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Royer32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c5…90dfbacked Royer43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9c…ab80backed Royer29c493.08$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.033534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Fokina62c464.37$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.097957%45 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Royer33c458.71$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.367147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4557…4212backed Fokina63c457.8$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba06…0004backed Fokina57c450$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.515151%77 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Fokina70c449.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1358143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb406…ebaabacked Fokina67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.761163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Fokina45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4440141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Fokina61c428.96$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8923852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Fokina63c408.29$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.772147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Royer37c407.7$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8532548%156 W · 169 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Royer35c406.57$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.575547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe66e…abddbacked Fokina70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…5bc1backed Fokina74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd891…7341backed Fokina68c375.43$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2112161.2%74 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8886…3913backed Royer28c353.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed Fokina70c334.29$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.294060%24 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Royer29c331.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9665651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b32…3f5fbacked Royer14c331$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.763710.8%4 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc950…ad4ebacked Royer24c325.23$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-85%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Royer38c314.57$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb82…69adbacked Fokina66c312.8$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.35650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Royer32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34c7…66a3backed Fokina66c303.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.111258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Fokina67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Royer34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10222840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Fokina50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Fokina53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14122737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Fokina67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Fokina66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Fokina70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7110457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.