Movies · resolved market
Will "Frankenstein" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a19b471abe54716c4e15ec47d47c48472722f032a3235120a814b5a1275d05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Yes | 18c | 11,284$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.44 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 10c | 1,934$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed No | 50c | 1,451$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.53 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…1551backed No | 72c | 1,222$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…8f39backed Yes | 50c | 1,146$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.52 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…3a94backed Yes | 10c | 769.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 19c | 645.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…4822backed Yes | 11c | 606.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 583.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 71c | 525.55$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5397…d7f2backed Yes | 41c | 386.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…f8adbacked Yes | 22c | 374.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…ec41backed No | 54c | 327.39$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 9c | 317.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd630…fa11backed Yes | 74c | 271.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 61c | 269.48$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed No | 27c | 239.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…c3c4backed Yes | 17c | 237.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb649…99d3backed Yes | 63c | 222.49$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc74…8591backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 60c | 200.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 9c | 199.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 6c | 199.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 71c | 196.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a55dbacked No | 78c | 177.21$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 30c | 169.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5b…afe2backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90f…8296backed Yes | 68c | 147.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde00…24a1backed Yes | 69c | 145.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd7…8d72backed Yes | 73c | 136.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 59c | 126.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4d…9cbdbacked Yes | 11c | 103.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…342dbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…79efbacked Yes | 76c | 93.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…b434backed Yes | 16c | 91.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…522dbacked No | 77c | 90.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed No | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 11c | 88.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b2…be53backed Yes | 60c | 84.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…5208backed Yes | 50c | 80.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce44…49dabacked Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…17bbbacked Yes | 34c | 76.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a8…526fbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…2a4fbacked Yes | 76c | 65.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 47c | 61.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x025a…b035backed Yes | 49c | 60.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1b…c599backed Yes | 17c | 59.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…4ca5backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…1191backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked Yes | 40c | 43.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…4350backed Yes | 60c | 41.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee27…370ebacked No | 67c | 38.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd56…ab8dbacked Yes | 78c | 38.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Yes | 68c | 35.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…616bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f7…071cbacked Yes | 71c | 29.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…41e6backed Yes | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 44c | 27.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb959…b18fbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed No | 71c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa55…69f1backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Frankenstein" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)this page
- Will "Champagne Problems" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)Yes won
- Will "In Your Dreams" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)No won
- Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)No won
- Will "The Carman Family Deaths" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)No won
- Will "Train Dreams" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.