TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Finland win on 2025-11-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,325 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes79c9,590$7,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.0930031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No19c6,084$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.1874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c3,583$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.183,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes79c3,500$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7351593.3%14 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick63cpaid+51.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No18c3,120$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.673650%18 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No17c3,052$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.5535942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No0c2,461$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.77799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No18c1,433$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.624,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No23c1,226$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.073823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Yes75c1,013$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.331050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107038.6%27 W · 43 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+69%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No21c892.08$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2534630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…7b1fbacked Yes77c825.55$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.33119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.38per pick47cpaid-88.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No24c799.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9313419.4%26 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick19cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked No7c663$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No19c601$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.81,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No19c473.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d2…0997backed No24c460$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6501…5983backed No24c423$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9335…4f41backed No24c414$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502f…efaabacked No24c411$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea1a…5e64backed No24c387.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed5b…eb1dbacked No24c356.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd9…503abacked No24c346$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41b…4883backed No24c344$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca94…f7c5backed No24c342$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40f…2c16backed No24c336.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e6…c613backed No24c333.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No18c329.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.323738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No19c326.9$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.646536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No19c325.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9410954.1%59 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bdc…6ac8backed No24c324$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5bb…3154backed No24c323$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x586e…e28dbacked No24c322.2$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No21c320.24$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2512451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No21c312$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5213654.4%74 W · 62 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb016…982dbacked No24c306$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419d…129abacked No24c304$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked No25c292.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.055339.6%21 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d5…c67abacked No24c261$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa085…8fc2backed Yes76c260$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b66…295bbacked Yes76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c31…3cadbacked Yes76c245$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3dc…889bbacked Yes76c245$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x346b…3df4backed Yes76c240$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1840…e9c5backed Yes76c240$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3110…738ebacked No24c234$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d0…552dbacked Yes76c231.98$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9098…8114backed Yes76c230$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed No24c227.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.952245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2434…bf11backed Yes76c224.93$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da3…efd0backed Yes76c215$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba10…bde0backed Yes76c211$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…fc11backed Yes76c210$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x646e…4febbacked Yes76c210$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2a…e5a3backed Yes76c204$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1505…5694backed Yes76c203$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba4e…b333backed Yes76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.27647.4%36 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06ba…2b97backed Yes76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc48c…b218backed Yes78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a80…87d7backed Yes76c199.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No7c199.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.95446.8%3 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65cf…c28dbacked Yes76c199$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec90…487cbacked Yes76c197$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f5d…5c2cbacked Yes76c196.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1720…ab44backed Yes78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59bd…dbb4backed Yes76c191$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f13…aca3backed Yes76c190$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a6…fe74backed Yes76c190$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec73…6af3backed Yes80c186.73$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.351650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a2…f3a4backed Yes76c179.98$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x525f…39a1backed Yes76c178$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes76c177$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x981a…3c59backed Yes76c171$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86dc…d24dbacked Yes76c169$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eff…08c7backed Yes76c169$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No23c162$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0628754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad01…5d1fbacked Yes76c160$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked No22c154.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes75c154$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd740…438dbacked No24c153.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+93.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked No23c150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.52416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No24c149.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7239621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0d0…f8d1backed Yes76c143.97$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9258…5237backed Yes76c141$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x586c…7667backed Yes76c140$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36cb…bdcdbacked Yes76c138$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf90f…8296backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-54.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…017cbacked Yes77c125.65$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.94052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No16c119.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0613131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No23c104$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.927349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No23c103.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.925545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No23c99.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238944.9%40 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No21c97.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.245343.4%23 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x663b…e26cbacked No24c96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.