Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $98,000 November 10-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0032be5fb03f25d3aec8f04c47e3bf143ff14d0be3fde2b7419cf689c64a2b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab6b…f5f4backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 54c | 10,886$5,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.73 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x509c…9c81backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…6667backed No | 72c | 8,784$6,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,324.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 46c | 5,054$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.67 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 52c | 4,528$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.54 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed No | 11c | 4,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 70c | 3,907$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.15 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 49c | 3,860$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.35 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 67c | 3,539$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.44 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e3…93f2backed Yes | 34c | 2,418$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.84 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae8…03cdbacked Yes | 63c | 2,101$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…c67ebacked Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed No | 58c | 1,706$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.27 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 31c | 1,680$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.2 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 29c | 1,538$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.93 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 13c | 1,524$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.81 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,359$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.77 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,176$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb646…0cf9backed Yes | 14c | 1,175$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…f8bbbacked Yes | 46c | 1,007$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…f652backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 68c | 987.32$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.26 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…f566backed Yes | 23c | 966.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.37 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +105%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 34c | 910.63$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.05 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed No | 29c | 858.29$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.01 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 33c | 781.24$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.87 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 18c | 773.42$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.2 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 16c | 750$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.5 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…73e6backed No | 58c | 660$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 627.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 26c | 600$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.13 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…efddbacked Yes | 11c | 561.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…f0b2backed No | 19c | 525.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 40c | 521.69$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.92 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…c85abacked Yes | 29c | 518.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed No | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…94e7backed Yes | 27c | 364.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459b…cb0bbacked Yes | 75c | 344.77$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…409cbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec50…84dfbacked Yes | 32c | 299.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +208%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed No | 59c | 271.61$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…d0cdbacked Yes | 35c | 251.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048c…ce7dbacked Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…fdf1backed Yes | 46c | 244.24$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1594…fafebacked Yes | 46c | 240.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ee…3b1cbacked Yes | 46c | 238.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d3…b479backed Yes | 46c | 234.46$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…5b28backed Yes | 46c | 222.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 50c | 219$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked No | 77c | 217.7$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.63 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9d…889cbacked Yes | 50c | 217.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da2…27c7backed Yes | 50c | 212.64$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb18…1845backed Yes | 50c | 210.58$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…6861backed Yes | 52c | 208.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6411…2631backed Yes | 58c | 204.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…2973backed Yes | 58c | 202.21$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc364…f047backed Yes | 75c | 200.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e6…284bbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8648…1648backed No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a11…aef3backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…d9e5backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…2185backed Yes | 75c | 195.47$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed No | 15c | 194.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d4…6d5cbacked Yes | 43c | 193$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed No | 48c | 192$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…52c2backed No | 74c | 189.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…e983backed Yes | 78c | 188.4$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…6549backed Yes | 78c | 186.35$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…a7bfbacked Yes | 78c | 185.53$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c71…4215backed Yes | 78c | 185.18$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…af71backed Yes | 65c | 185.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…e8b1backed Yes | 65c | 180.92$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…644cbacked Yes | 65c | 180.77$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de6…7048backed Yes | 65c | 177.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…34f4backed Yes | 65c | 175.88$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ac…3bf7backed Yes | 65c | 175.74$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00bc…8d5cbacked Yes | 76c | 169.87$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…3e2ebacked Yes | 58c | 168.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…3d79backed Yes | 65c | 167.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7777…17cbbacked Yes | 58c | 166.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…a836backed Yes | 57c | 165.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00bb…7776backed Yes | 65c | 164.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…76a3backed Yes | 52c | 164.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f7…eb39backed Yes | 65c | 164.23$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f1…b361backed Yes | 65c | 163.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…f98ebacked No | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed No | 36c | 159.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0ed2backed Yes | 65c | 158.69$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…1efbbacked Yes | 80c | 157.4$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 49c | 154.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607f…a01ebacked Yes | 63c | 151.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…04f3backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $98,000 November 10-16?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $102,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $96,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $112,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $114,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 November 10-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.