Will Marcus Rashford score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d0b5736f249119319426aad946f62080a42d1b9bc1be52b76e7111bebff86af

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,399 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x71a5…b594backed No	30c	179.42$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.1	185	38.9%72 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…b295backed Yes	57c	128.28$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.35	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed No	34c	112$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.08	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	66c	95$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.85	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	68c	84.83$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.96	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	65c	78.33$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.63	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No	42c	70.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.83	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes	55c	55.11$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.8	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes	66c	51.52$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.52	277	29.2%81 W · 196 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	70c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked No	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	234	29.1%68 W · 166 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	70c	29.42$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.83	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	60c	22$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x82fb…bed6backed Yes	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf8…69abbacked Yes	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b8…fbf3backed Yes	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Marcus Rashford score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event