TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

USC Trojans vs. Oregon Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
USC Trojansof USC Trojans, Oregon Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$247,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Oregon Ducks31c163,477$51,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,410.683641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed USC Trojans70c107,308$75,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,738.9769142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed USC Trojans67c18,496$12,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,103.72958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked USC Trojans67c14,960$10,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,936.890645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed USC Trojans68c14,750$10,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,677.6511662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed USC Trojans67c5,929$3,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.81,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Oregon Ducks40c5,672$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.8135452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Oregon Ducks46c5,492$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Oregon Ducks44c5,029$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.7728539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Oregon Ducks40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60036944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed USC Trojans54c3,750$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.561652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked USC Trojans56c3,444$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.9712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed USC Trojans70c3,333$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.91266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked USC Trojans57c2,348$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.581,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed USC Trojans58c2,244$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.8355657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked USC Trojans58c2,218$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.431,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed USC Trojans58c2,213$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.512,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked USC Trojans58c1,891$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.1112853.1%68 W · 60 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked USC Trojans64c1,883$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.771,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed USC Trojans71c1,794$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.412045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35fe…95f7backed Oregon Ducks27c1,669$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.37520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Oregon Ducks35c1,637$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.145,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked USC Trojans79c1,605$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.531258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked USC Trojans65c1,507$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.931,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea30…5ab1backed Oregon Ducks37c1,346$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Oregon Ducks43c1,300$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.997145.1%32 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked USC Trojans66c1,215$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.8515939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked USC Trojans57c1,084$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.12152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Oregon Ducks42c1,062$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.1450%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed USC Trojans61c1,051$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.91,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Oregon Ducks10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed USC Trojans73c919.71$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7119057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Oregon Ducks42c833.33$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed USC Trojans56c734.32$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.117650.6%89 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked USC Trojans59c700$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2855137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Oregon Ducks34c671.83$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.5423158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed USC Trojans60c663$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.274649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed USC Trojans59c652.26$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.713,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Oregon Ducks41c604$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.648843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed USC Trojans67c588$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.241,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Oregon Ducks44c572.27$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed USC Trojans60c520.86$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.432,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked USC Trojans59c500$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2065740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22db…a398backed USC Trojans62c496.82$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oregon Ducks49c476.92$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.123,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed USC Trojans56c444.02$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.82,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed USC Trojans69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.782751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked USC Trojans49c355.58$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.29850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked USC Trojans37c337$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9913342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90dc…5ba6backed USC Trojans75c322.79$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.71546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed USC Trojans56c300$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13382048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Oregon Ducks39c299.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.581,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Oregon Ducks42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10517051.2%87 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Oregon Ducks42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Oregon Ducks27c225.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4612435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked USC Trojans60c214.54$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8619153.9%103 W · 88 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Oregon Ducks12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed USC Trojans65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Oregon Ducks28c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5742934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Oregon Ducks41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked USC Trojans76c196$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.042828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Oregon Ducks45c192$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4832337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed USC Trojans56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5750546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked USC Trojans56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5719555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x83b8…ca3fbacked Oregon Ducks48c167.83$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b0…4da1backed USC Trojans74c163.15$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.162650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed USC Trojans67c150.73$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7417647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Oregon Ducks37c148.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.941,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed USC Trojans69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9339144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed USC Trojans70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.868956.2%50 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Oregon Ducks8c130$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Oregon Ducks40c128.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5830139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed USC Trojans74c126.27$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Oregon Ducks41c125.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5584147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5485…231cbacked USC Trojans44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Oregon Ducks37c123.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.92,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Oregon Ducks44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.829444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaef8…c6b7backed USC Trojans70c103$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed USC Trojans67c100.13$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.045949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Oregon Ducks42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed USC Trojans58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4234947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed USC Trojans62c99.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+84.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1c76…8b35backed USC Trojans80c97.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed USC Trojans67c94.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1573549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4b…a96fbacked Oregon Ducks25c91.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed USC Trojans70c90$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.344955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f3…af0bbacked Oregon Ducks39c88.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed USC Trojans57c80.86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.817626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed USC Trojans56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3679448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Oregon Ducks42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.68342.2%35 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e0…7934backed Oregon Ducks44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd307…166fbacked USC Trojans54c77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Oregon Ducks37c75.53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.314035%49 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb860…fa01backed Oregon Ducks40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1475…e632backed USC Trojans45c74.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65fd…5dd3backed USC Trojans69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.462040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Oregon Ducks28c72.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…9ee6backed Oregon Ducks41c55.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Oregon Ducks42c50.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.361361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+62.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed USC Trojans62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.015570.9%39 W · 16 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.