NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Pistons

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c7a0808440e1b0327fd868c002906e80fe4bf1053fb90dddcdf379c6802564e

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pistonsof Jazz, Pistons
Resolved: Nov 5, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $852,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $914,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $852,784 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7b8c…1556backed Jazz	17c	150,000$25,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,500	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jazz	12c	74,998$9,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,249.5	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Pistons	79c	31,175$24,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,478.96	710	52.1%370 W · 340 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Jazz	20c	25,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Pistons	76c	22,323$16,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,409.14	471	44.2%208 W · 263 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pistons	80c	14,355$11,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,925.72	260	38.1%99 W · 161 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz	21c	12,918$2,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,719.06	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x991e…f4abbacked Jazz	22c	12,043$2,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,701.45	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jazz	27c	11,744$3,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,151.16	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Jazz	22c	10,971$2,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,371.89	77	39%30 W · 47 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Pistons	80c	10,701$8,561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,140.2	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Pistons	80c	10,080$8,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,016	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pistons	80c	10,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Jazz	21c	10,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+3.2wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Jazz	20c	10,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.99	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Jazz	21c	9,012$1,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,878.78	361	48.5%175 W · 186 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9047…82a3backed Jazz	21c	8,400$1,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,764	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Pistons	79c	7,590$5,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,613.56	121	60.3%73 W · 48 L	+10.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jazz	26c	7,090$1,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,823.53	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jazz	20c	6,604$1,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320.85	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pistons	79c	6,340$5,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,330.14	444	59.7%265 W · 179 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfadc…472ebacked Pistons	80c	6,250$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250	27	77.8%21 W · 6 L	+5.1wins	+0.19per pick	59cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb9b6…630cbacked Pistons	79c	5,465$4,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,142.83	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Jazz	9c	5,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jazz	21c	5,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.99	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons	78c	4,579$3,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.49	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab8…e66abacked Pistons	79c	4,500$3,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Jazz	22c	4,489$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Pistons	78c	4,365$3,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.25	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f79…735fbacked Pistons	79c	4,297$3,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$892.29	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	22c	4,100$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pistons	79c	4,075$3,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$855.75	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Jazz	23c	4,045$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.4	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcc…bb85backed Pistons	79c	4,000$3,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.99	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2df6…4808backed Jazz	11c	3,604$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	13cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Jazz	20c	3,176$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.5	553	46.8%259 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1034…b26dbacked Pistons	80c	3,125$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons	77c	3,122$2,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$721.68	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4520…b2dabacked Jazz	21c	3,000$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Jazz	25c	2,872$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.21	246	34.6%85 W · 161 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x260a…dbf6backed Pistons	77c	2,723$2,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$632.99	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons	79c	2,663$2,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546.27	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Pistons	69c	2,568$1,766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.2	474	48.7%231 W · 243 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	20c	2,532$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.32	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7deb…7c0abacked Jazz	16c	2,500$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.67	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Jazz	21c	2,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.98	236	44.1%104 W · 132 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Jazz	30c	2,372$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	152	28.3%43 W · 109 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons	78c	2,331$1,818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.86	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ec…6933backed Pistons	78c	2,200$1,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Pistons	79c	2,000$1,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	204	53.9%110 W · 94 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Jazz	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons	75c	1,814$1,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.18	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa68…94a7backed Pistons	71c	1,800$1,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522	92	50%46 W · 46 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e78…4d28backed Jazz	20c	1,750$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+3.8wins	+0.16per pick	27cpaid	+74.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Pistons	78c	1,744$1,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.01	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Jazz	41c	1,640$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672	667	44.5%297 W · 370 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…2e08backed Pistons	80c	1,625$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325	48	50%24 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Pistons	79c	1,437$1,139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.25	130	42.3%55 W · 75 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Jazz	21c	1,429$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	428	27.3%117 W · 311 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd611…24fdbacked Pistons	79c	1,428$1,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.85	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…5367backed Jazz	22c	1,400$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…539ebacked Jazz	22c	1,400$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz	14c	1,400$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	652	18.4%120 W · 532 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2218…da53backed Jazz	22c	1,400$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad78…6d08backed Jazz	22c	1,400$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa871…5e2bbacked Jazz	22c	1,400$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…491dbacked Jazz	22c	1,338$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.45	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1800…520dbacked Jazz	25c	1,251$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Jazz	20c	1,250$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jazz	20c	1,183$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.9	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Jazz	23c	1,102$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	310	44.8%139 W · 171 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Jazz	20c	1,100$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	158	38.6%61 W · 97 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz	2c	1,082$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.64	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Jazz	21c	1,043$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.95	430	51.4%221 W · 209 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Jazz	22c	1,020$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.34	184	38.6%71 W · 113 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Jazz	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Pistons	79c	1,000$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	93	44.1%41 W · 52 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x730d…6cfabacked Jazz	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c2…26aabacked Jazz	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+4.6wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7ff…e7f5backed Pistons	79c	1,000$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Jazz	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Jazz	20c	999.98$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	243	30.9%75 W · 168 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c17…84ecbacked Jazz	16c	999.96$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.99	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Pistons	79c	935$739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.35	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edd…f21ebacked Jazz	22c	909.09$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2d…f033backed Jazz	22c	909.09$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Jazz	21c	908.04$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.1	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Pistons	79c	891.36$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184	300	53.3%160 W · 140 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Jazz	13c	881.23$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.56	164	39.6%65 W · 99 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Pistons	79c	865$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.12	487	39.8%194 W · 293 L	-21.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Jazz	23c	800$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	510	37.5%191 W · 319 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb070…96f7backed Pistons	80c	799.52$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfd…3462backed Jazz	9c	788.66$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.99	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pistons	71c	780.17$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons	79c	743.02$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.36	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Pistons	79c	737.38$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.53	447	51.5%230 W · 217 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2c…bba5backed Pistons	80c	690.74$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.15	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz	26c	680.32$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.94	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Pistons	79c	665.56$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.77	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-6.7wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Pistons

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event