NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb157cbd4bbf2027a6826133587fc7fa308a1afc4ee6e567c84fbb9ff7e09c65a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 46c | 36,105$16,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,774.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Pistons | 53c | 23,012$12,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,888.82 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…e38bbacked Pistons | 54c | 22,232$12,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,137 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz | 49c | 18,100$8,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,796 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Pistons | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Pistons | 48c | 1,631$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.06 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 52c | 1,433$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jazz | 47c | 1,053$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.91 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jazz | 47c | 859$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.73 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Pistons | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 47c | 341$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…ba84backed Pistons | 53c | 230.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Jazz | 48c | 111$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Pistons | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Jazz | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Pistons | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Pistons | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)this page
- Jazz vs. PistonsPistons won
- Jazz vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.