NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5853fb179b80e298879fe46d0b5e9cbce2ba30a55e39d88155328f17fa5ffd04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $722,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $774,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $722,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Grizzlies | 27c | 210,888$57,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,438.14 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets | 73c | 86,000$62,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,220 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Grizzlies | 0c | 71,083$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.58 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Grizzlies | 0c | 59,249$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.46 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Rockets | 72c | 35,900$25,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,052 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 5c | 24,127$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Rockets | 73c | 18,926$13,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,026.22 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Rockets | 74c | 13,536$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,535.54 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rockets | 75c | 12,784$9,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.54 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Grizzlies | 27c | 11,496$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.08 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Rockets | 72c | 10,650$7,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Grizzlies | 26c | 9,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.96 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 2c | 8,873$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.46 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Rockets | 72c | 8,420$6,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.6 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 8,078$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 7,533$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Rockets | 76c | 6,861$5,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.43 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies | 15c | 6,761$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.76 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Rockets | 74c | 6,655$4,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.79 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rockets | 75c | 6,563$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.16 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rockets | 72c | 6,340$4,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.2 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Rockets | 74c | 6,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Grizzlies | 12c | 5,739$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.74 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Rockets | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 4,962$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.03 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Grizzlies | 14c | 4,896$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.03 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Rockets | 72c | 4,520$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.27 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Grizzlies | 3c | 4,250$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.93 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Rockets | 73c | 3,871$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.13 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies | 26c | 3,856$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.12 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rockets | 73c | 3,729$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.88 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Grizzlies | 16c | 3,716$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.59 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89f…1d11backed Rockets | 73c | 3,699$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…ae2ebacked Rockets | 74c | 3,600$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 27c | 3,050$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 2,854$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…da94backed Rockets | 73c | 2,830$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Grizzlies | 2c | 2,813$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Rockets | 73c | 2,779$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.05 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Grizzlies | 1c | 2,431$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Grizzlies | 26c | 2,297$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.35 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Grizzlies | 27c | 2,270$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Rockets | 73c | 2,204$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.14 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Grizzlies | 26c | 2,200$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.99 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d99…d5c2backed Grizzlies | 27c | 2,122$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 2,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…3b89backed Grizzlies | 27c | 2,017$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Grizzlies | 26c | 1,888$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.18 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 20c | 1,860$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.02 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Grizzlies | 17c | 1,809$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Rockets | 74c | 1,563$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.33 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…b41fbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 1,536$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 26c | 1,533$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.28 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 26c | 1,529$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.22 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Grizzlies | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Rockets | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 10c | 1,456$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.59 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Rockets | 78c | 1,413$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.43 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c1…b8fabacked Rockets | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rockets | 73c | 1,314$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.78 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 1,214$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Grizzlies | 27c | 1,212$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.18 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Grizzlies | 5c | 1,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…735fbacked Grizzlies | 27c | 1,190$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Grizzlies | 24c | 1,136$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.23 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,055$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Grizzlies | 22c | 1,042$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.23 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 73c | 1,027$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.29 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75e…ecd6backed Rockets | 74c | 1,010$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Grizzlies | 23c | 1,006$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.59 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Grizzlies | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Grizzlies | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…26aabacked Grizzlies | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Grizzlies | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Grizzlies | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 304 | 44.7%136 W · 168 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 997.35$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Grizzlies | 3c | 988.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…f89ebacked Grizzlies | 27c | 917$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 913.39$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.75 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Rockets | 80c | 890$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 16c | 881.51$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.42 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9d…3409backed Grizzlies | 7c | 854.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 807.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Grizzlies | 25c | 778.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.69 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Rockets | 75c | 750$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -10.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…82bbbacked Grizzlies | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d5…6438backed Grizzlies | 6c | 729.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…dcc9backed Rockets | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 12c | 675.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Grizzlies | 27c | 611$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Grizzlies | 26c | 600.47$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Grizzlies | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Rockets | 75c | 592$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Rockets | 75c | 535.7$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…14efbacked Rockets | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…bdc5backed Grizzlies | 27c | 518.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Grizzliesthis page
- Rockets vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.