AI · resolved market
DeepSeek banned in US before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8339f6f04e8048b2b776ec87fb6a8effbd195686a73ae7b1e8fd86240e99648a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $461,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefb5…dda1backed Yes | 7c | 10,250$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…dd1ebacked Yes | 8c | 6,058$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 18c | 5,983$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…8f6abacked Yes | 10c | 5,951$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…d1d1backed Yes | 9c | 5,634$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 4c | 5,366$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,747$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 82 | 1.2%1 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 7c | 4,011$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 2c | 3,950$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…89b1backed Yes | 7c | 3,781$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 9c | 3,700$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…d4a0backed Yes | 15c | 3,659$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 5c | 3,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 12c | 3,096$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.24 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…dcf9backed Yes | 16c | 3,077$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f9…4cdbbacked Yes | 10c | 3,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…1ab0backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 10c | 2,965$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.07 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 18c | 2,898$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,833$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…d8d4backed Yes | 14c | 2,814$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a3…007ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,748$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Yes | 7c | 2,653$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.17 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…51fdbacked Yes | 19c | 2,652$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 76c | 2,540$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +77%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…5ad1backed Yes | 12c | 2,487$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771a…096fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,252$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…6a1cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,173$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…ce3dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,067$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…5e5abacked Yes | 10c | 2,036$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…51b7backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +295.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…590bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,969$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…496ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,957$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…2115backed Yes | 2c | 1,912$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,706$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x869a…bb9cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,703$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…63e3backed Yes | 6c | 1,686$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 10c | 1,642$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 9c | 1,612$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 2c | 1,571$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…e4e8backed Yes | 7c | 1,473$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…0c4dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,462$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,419$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 13c | 1,348$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.11 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 4c | 1,224$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc17…594dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,155$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda19…241fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,002$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…5d40backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…8ee7backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa181…9456backed Yes | 12c | 965.61$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…dc72backed Yes | 5c | 964.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa682…51edbacked Yes | 4c | 951.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 21c | 923.53$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0151…039fbacked Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1714…0986backed Yes | 14c | 876.23$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…b133backed Yes | 18c | 811.17$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…4bfbbacked Yes | 17c | 810.73$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…baacbacked Yes | 7c | 782.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…f771backed Yes | 13c | 780$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 10c | 774.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…3108backed Yes | 14c | 761.14$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes | 15c | 761$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…a7febacked Yes | 14c | 718$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca25…dbecbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 13c | 707.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e38…5533backed Yes | 12c | 699.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 79c | 692.95$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c4…4ebdbacked Yes | 22c | 678.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…fa11backed Yes | 38c | 662.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…ebaabacked Yes | 12c | 662.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Yes | 16c | 654.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1766…5705backed Yes | 15c | 645.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…3d55backed Yes | 14c | 645.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…8194backed Yes | 11c | 600$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…2ff7backed Yes | 4c | 600$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b29…a45fbacked Yes | 20c | 590.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55b…7853backed Yes | 17c | 587.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedef…2919backed Yes | 9c | 538.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8b82backed Yes | 19c | 538.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…f088backed Yes | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a2…7bb3backed Yes | 4c | 506.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b4ecbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…bd4ebacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…d442backed Yes | 9c | 495$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c4…43e8backed Yes | 3c | 486.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Yes | 21c | 468.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5420…a717backed Yes | 15c | 450.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e13…d4adbacked Yes | 17c | 446.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3e…ac1cbacked Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…b102backed Yes | 9c | 423.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 3c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 7c | 377.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.