Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x781481b4aa51e8185d35b29e27f588b48108611e9437bebcc14c537740c67dfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 73c | 26,879$19,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,348.34 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 80c | 21,600$17,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,363.35 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…61cebacked No | 78c | 20,099$15,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb11…d6bebacked Yes | 27c | 17,033$4,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…83adbacked No | 76c | 15,641$11,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,778.62 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 75c | 14,994$11,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.93 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 75c | 13,119$9,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.17 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…e141backed Yes | 3c | 12,560$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 23c | 12,149$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.72 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 13c | 11,627$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.57 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 75c | 10,397$7,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.83 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7015…9d47backed Yes | 27c | 8,916$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9432…17d2backed Yes | 17c | 8,603$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 25c | 8,570$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.5 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 74c | 7,657$5,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.96 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd262…8553backed Yes | 34c | 7,356$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 21c | 7,193$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.03 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…ed37backed Yes | 25c | 6,749$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a0…9884backed No | 75c | 6,608$4,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed Yes | 4c | 6,373$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.39 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1f…c9c6backed Yes | 16c | 6,037$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 72c | 5,944$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.68 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…a436backed Yes | 24c | 5,944$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…8686backed Yes | 21c | 5,467$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…aea4backed Yes | 26c | 5,413$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…cd38backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…a726backed Yes | 22c | 4,664$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d6…7ec9backed Yes | 27c | 4,662$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 76c | 4,593$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.03 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…1f9fbacked Yes | 20c | 4,466$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…1a38backed Yes | 23c | 4,270$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 69c | 4,125$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.81 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 70c | 3,950$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.39 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 25c | 3,600$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.78 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d3…4e5ebacked Yes | 27c | 3,515$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.49 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…ee53backed Yes | 26c | 3,350$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…63a9backed Yes | 4c | 3,315$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked No | 79c | 3,015$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.87 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…639fbacked No | 78c | 3,005$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…a48cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,955$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.7 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…5932backed Yes | 21c | 2,605$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa745…39c8backed Yes | 22c | 2,548$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 79c | 2,500$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.78 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 21c | 2,490$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.45 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…442abacked No | 78c | 2,440$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed No | 78c | 2,343$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2545…448ebacked Yes | 33c | 2,143$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7069backed No | 76c | 2,125$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf507…525bbacked No | 76c | 2,026$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…6be6backed Yes | 26c | 2,003$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.38 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf407…10f7backed Yes | 17c | 1,820$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 75c | 1,794$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.15 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,654$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.71 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 25c | 1,602$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.49 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…6f8bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,544$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 78c | 1,513$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.43 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed No | 79c | 1,500$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…5390backed Yes | 27c | 1,498$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 5c | 1,489$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…6b3abacked Yes | 25c | 1,407$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 78c | 1,381$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.02 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…7948backed Yes | 25c | 1,372$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…110cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,367$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…b390backed Yes | 3c | 1,295$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked No | 77c | 1,291$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 77c | 1,247$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.11 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…3f0ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,200$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…6374backed No | 77c | 1,149$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Yes | 17c | 1,135$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.71 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…ef28backed Yes | 27c | 1,116$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 80c | 1,094$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.19 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…ed8dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,056$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed No | 77c | 1,018$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.78 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x888a…1b1fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,011$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 77c | 1,011$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.12 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…af2ebacked Yes | 25c | 955.1$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 11c | 941.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 74c | 934.62$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3d…83f8backed Yes | 27c | 926.61$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 74c | 911.31$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.64 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 26c | 873.48$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.37 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…0ffabacked No | 79c | 867.97$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed No | 67c | 850.29$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.6 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb206…f717backed Yes | 12c | 845.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…56ffbacked Yes | 24c | 823.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…0e62backed Yes | 25c | 814.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…c040backed Yes | 29c | 768.1$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 73c | 726.97$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.13 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 25c | 720.84$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.51 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9b…0fb8backed Yes | 26c | 715.08$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…1a98backed Yes | 25c | 700$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…2f89backed Yes | 24c | 697.9$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Yes | 20c | 678$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e9…33f3backed No | 75c | 669.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 22c | 660$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.83 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…1045backed Yes | 25c | 648.33$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Yes | 16c | 634.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 22c | 619.36$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked No | 80c | 607.23$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?this page
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? No won
- Will Trump say "mandate" 3+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "middle class" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.