Us Politics · resolved market

Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8755ff274d9a5c690dbd2cb35a5599c23382a679655abd8355f669e6850fba86

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 20, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $126,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $127,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,939 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xecaa…77a9backed No	60c	17,208$10,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,858.88	74	58.1%43 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1085…2d69backed Yes	60c	13,842$8,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,317.29	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20e…5998backed No	56c	6,492$3,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,846.89	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb5…b536backed No	64c	4,612$2,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,681.86	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	62cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes	56c	4,055$2,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,273.03	231	49.4%114 W · 117 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	35c	3,795$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,339.95	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacd9…3d87backed No	43c	3,696$1,598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,097.63	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+4.8wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+124.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Yes	30c	3,688$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110.67	118	48.3%57 W · 61 L	+13.0wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes	38c	3,597$1,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,363.17	412	38.8%160 W · 252 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No	34c	2,892$983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,908.43	165	35.8%59 W · 106 L	+18.3wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+86.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8f62…02efbacked No	64c	2,884$1,834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050.1	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	13c	2,668$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.93	385	9.4%36 W · 349 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x040e…8edfbacked No	67c	2,500$1,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$831.32	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed Yes	35c	2,389$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.17	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes	37c	2,348$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.14	141	35.5%50 W · 91 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e6c…ef89backed No	65c	2,320$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53e…7bb3backed Yes	47c	2,122$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3150…538cbacked Yes	49c	1,644$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f0…be32backed Yes	47c	1,622$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.6	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe62e…b7f5backed Yes	47c	1,581$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.05	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x343b…f8f4backed No	69c	1,572$1,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.96	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1513…5208backed Yes	48c	1,565$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	37c	1,508$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.02	174	52.9%92 W · 82 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes	48c	1,503$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.78	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed No	57c	1,500$853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.34	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d4f…00d8backed No	77c	1,500$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	40c	1,221$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.18	210	22.4%47 W · 163 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ec…0ff9backed Yes	36c	1,124$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+55.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30e4…5102backed Yes	24c	1,115$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.05	135	40%54 W · 81 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeeca…9826backed Yes	37c	1,095$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ac7…6b3abacked Yes	45c	1,024$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.32	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.20per pick	41cpaid	+58%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.19per pick	22cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1514…2624backed Yes	39c	959.7$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.08	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd49b…83efbacked Yes	35c	920.53$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.17	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	14c	872.98$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.55	170	21.2%36 W · 134 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes	35c	862.23$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.78	73	54.8%40 W · 33 L	+5.5wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f72…83adbacked Yes	70c	829.05$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.34	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb73…2620backed No	58c	824.99$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.25	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	46cpaid	-71%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	33c	780.23$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.83	320	29.1%93 W · 227 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1204…b5c9backed Yes	69c	724.31$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.5wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb78e…30e3backed No	53c	698.73$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.32	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x684b…0601backed No	63c	692.09$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.41	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…6a1cbacked Yes	38c	653.39$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc900…4faebacked Yes	43c	604$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.07	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed No	66c	600$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.11	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a45…cf97backed No	66c	576.29$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.14	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Yes	40c	570.37$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.71	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc8…7d08backed No	53c	558.91$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.69	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	+10.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c53…44f2backed Yes	18c	500.74$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.07	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed No	67c	499.99$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Yes	34c	496.94$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…d32abacked No	66c	481.65$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.62	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x404c…4138backed No	62c	480.34$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.34	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed No	64c	475.6$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.22	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+41%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked No	59c	473.32$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.2	147	42.9%63 W · 84 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54fc…a48cbacked Yes	30c	424.26$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.28	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c7e…6db4backed Yes	35c	413.74$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe191…bac4backed Yes	36c	412.16$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	33cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes	37c	400.57$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.35	283	20.5%58 W · 225 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74da…1ba5backed Yes	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a25…b75fbacked No	64c	343.75$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.75	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-60%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d8…a0a6backed No	65c	323.36$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.83	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1354…318ebacked Yes	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	29cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x258e…e189backed Yes	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed No	61c	311.5$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.17	395	22.8%90 W · 305 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd94d…365ebacked Yes	32c	310.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes	33c	302.34$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.77	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes	34c	300.7$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.93	131	45.8%60 W · 71 L	+8.0wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe2b…ed08backed Yes	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	47cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes	61c	300$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	80	57.5%46 W · 34 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cf…3349backed Yes	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+5.2wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes	39c	300$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	46c	299.99$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8aa…3a00backed No	69c	299.99$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…43ffbacked Yes	44c	298.08$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73e5…53bdbacked No	65c	290.91$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.91	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes	69c	288.89$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5936…99c9backed Yes	35c	285.67$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.56	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	32cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb8…7690backed Yes	39c	285.21$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2459…8d76backed No	61c	284.62$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.72	125	31.2%39 W · 86 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked No	56c	284.21$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.21	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes	35c	281.69$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.92	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	54c	280$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.1	377	40.6%153 W · 224 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b94…8183backed Yes	37c	271.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc631…76f6backed No	56c	269.83$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.52	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa718…0cf4backed Yes	39c	266.76$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.53	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7073…420cbacked Yes	40c	252.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1e9…9f36backed Yes	40c	251.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a6b…bfacbacked No	61c	249.99$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	38cpaid	-72.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664d…aa7dbacked Yes	38c	245.99$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.16	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6994…7112backed Yes	41c	240$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.4	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+7.0wins	+0.17per pick	39cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	61c	238.16$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.3	996	29.5%294 W · 702 L	-73.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc15f…650abacked No	51c	228.91$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.75	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc84a…9099backed No	62c	226.27$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.4	83	77.1%64 W · 19 L	+8.9wins	+0.11per pick	66cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdad…085dbacked No	66c	226.21$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.27	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42a6…1b64backed Yes	34c	222$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.48	119	40.3%48 W · 71 L	+8.8wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed No	60c	220$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.8	75	56%42 W · 33 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc212…a125backed No	74c	219.19$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.76	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe783…aa3abacked Yes	38c	218.86$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.48	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7304…0379backed Yes	49c	217.88$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.76	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event