Token Launches · resolved market
Dogecoin above $0.18 on May 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93702234403dea1afa93ec77b441f31674bf1483c0cbd8a3f6c23c7b551274d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 31c | 2,372$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 40c | 1,100$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.5 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked No | 42c | 888.64$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 67c | 638.14$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 568.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 76c | 400$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e86…0c43backed No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Yes | 29c | 341$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3872…cd31backed No | 79c | 291.35$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 47c | 267.55$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 42c | 255.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -15.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 22c | 200.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 35c | 137.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 10c | 112.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…205bbacked No | 62c | 108.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…4f92backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…10ebbacked Yes | 69c | 76.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…6466backed No | 73c | 76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…d295backed Yes | 27c | 76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b86…53d7backed No | 62c | 74.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Yes | 55c | 63.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 56.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c02fbacked No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…e788backed No | 78c | 51.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…9f82backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f72…740abacked Yes | 52c | 26.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…5bc9backed No | 68c | 24.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…12fcbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…a637backed No | 78c | 18.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…53f9backed No | 76c | 17.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb9…d51abacked No | 78c | 16.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa719…8f40backed No | 77c | 16.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…fa93backed No | 78c | 16.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…46b5backed No | 78c | 16.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…77cdbacked No | 75c | 16.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb78…a3bfbacked No | 79c | 16.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9477…0bdbbacked No | 79c | 16.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…dcdbbacked No | 79c | 16.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a1…93cdbacked No | 77c | 16.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…3420backed No | 78c | 16.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…7abebacked No | 75c | 16.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…6134backed No | 76c | 16.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…cc27backed No | 79c | 15.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…caf9backed No | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…5d22backed No | 77c | 15.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ad…1a57backed No | 75c | 15.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…193abacked No | 78c | 15.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6c75backed No | 78c | 15.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…e05dbacked No | 79c | 15.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…3686backed No | 76c | 15.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18b…bd26backed No | 77c | 15.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…e7c5backed No | 77c | 15.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…5ea9backed No | 77c | 15.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ce…25f6backed No | 77c | 15.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…e86fbacked No | 71c | 15.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaac…ad70backed No | 78c | 15.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…da81backed No | 79c | 14.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…fcfbbacked No | 78c | 14.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…abbabacked No | 77c | 14.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…0600backed No | 76c | 14.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa10f…e2e9backed No | 80c | 14.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…c186backed No | 78c | 14.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…4673backed No | 79c | 14.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80be…cf16backed No | 78c | 14.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…27e8backed No | 78c | 14.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…4b5ebacked No | 79c | 14.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…4ca5backed No | 78c | 14.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d63…ec2abacked No | 78c | 14.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca5…9997backed No | 77c | 14.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…f970backed No | 80c | 14.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…d9cdbacked No | 79c | 13.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3988…b7e9backed No | 78c | 13.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…ba97backed No | 79c | 13.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…1328backed No | 78c | 13.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…2f7ebacked No | 79c | 13.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d6…9ad2backed No | 78c | 13.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…90bdbacked No | 77c | 13.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…01debacked No | 79c | 13.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a4…5a99backed No | 77c | 13.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…49f6backed No | 78c | 13.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8805…5500backed No | 75c | 13.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172a…fa31backed No | 78c | 13.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…e3b9backed No | 76c | 13.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640a…6a29backed No | 80c | 13.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…f2ddbacked No | 79c | 13.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…dbe6backed No | 78c | 13.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…dc32backed No | 79c | 13.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2306…2840backed No | 79c | 13.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110e…2295backed No | 79c | 13.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d49…9191backed No | 79c | 12.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.