Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25ae67b3e2ad3897a6bb4261c4df6de2e56fbc49870dbd3687051e0cad196fea

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 20, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $498,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $293,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,896 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	16c	30,596$4,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,843.16	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	5c	23,872$1,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,167.15	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	4c	23,087$1,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.11	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes	6c	17,369$1,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.03	116	10.3%12 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	1c	10,633$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.31	192	2.1%4 W · 188 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	17c	9,280$1,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575.17	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	8c	7,500$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.38	75	17.3%13 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…6ef5backed Yes	17c	6,869$1,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,181.93	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	14c	6,481$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.03	85	23.5%20 W · 65 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb015…846ebacked Yes	0c	6,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee9…6cc6backed Yes	17c	5,750$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.64	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-43%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab26…9656backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	262	24%63 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes	6c	4,923$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.51	261	12.6%33 W · 228 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a0…9884backed Yes	14c	4,705$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.41	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…b7cfbacked Yes	1c	4,213$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	9c	3,942$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.93	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4256…b85ebacked Yes	19c	3,921$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.08	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	9c	3,805$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.02	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5091…23e9backed Yes	11c	3,800$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.96	112	31.3%35 W · 77 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acd…3cc9backed Yes	17c	3,750$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd4…7630backed Yes	2c	3,707$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1106…9e55backed Yes	17c	3,666$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	16c	3,574$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.9	143	14.7%21 W · 122 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c49…ee5dbacked Yes	4c	3,161$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.48	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1d…a68fbacked Yes	8c	3,095$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.81	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7999…ee7ebacked Yes	20c	3,067$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8ac6…07eebacked Yes	22c	3,020$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.17	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	27cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	14c	2,872$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.02	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	19c	2,858$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.23	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f7…82f4backed Yes	13c	2,695$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8498…d219backed Yes	22c	2,573$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.25	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c42…6e1fbacked Yes	14c	2,500$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f11…b63fbacked Yes	15c	2,326$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.61	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1add…d2afbacked Yes	13c	2,317$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.85	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-73%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2104…a495backed Yes	13c	2,225$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.44	104	7.7%8 W · 96 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xab0e…6a86backed Yes	18c	2,181$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	35	20%7 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7079…a828backed Yes	14c	2,148$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes	24c	2,107$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	9c	1,990$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.14	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes	18c	1,962$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.39	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x284f…31efbacked Yes	2c	1,880$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.19	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7be…cc5cbacked Yes	15c	1,856$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.27	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	15cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0982…92c6backed Yes	5c	1,800$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.17	109	14.7%16 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda58…7ba8backed Yes	12c	1,700$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	155	11.6%18 W · 137 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b9…98ffbacked Yes	19c	1,652$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.18	56	17.9%10 W · 46 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes	19c	1,536$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.44	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Yes	18c	1,489$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.01	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+22%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…5acabacked Yes	16c	1,335$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.99	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…b42fbacked Yes	19c	1,304$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b14…2a35backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Yes	17c	1,216$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.03	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4335…6842backed Yes	1c	1,210$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	13cpaid	-94.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes	9c	1,200$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62c…3e6abacked Yes	21c	1,181$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.03	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	18c	1,103$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.05	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	1c	1,098$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.87	122	28.7%35 W · 87 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c4…43e8backed Yes	14c	1,026$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e7…5d19backed Yes	12c	1,018$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.98	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x353f…3b8dbacked Yes	4c	1,013$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.72	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	19c	1,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.58	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fff…be78backed No	79c	1,000$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf982…1c15backed Yes	23c	999.98$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.99	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb068…2e33backed Yes	21c	975.24$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Yes	24c	958$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.98	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Yes	5c	957.68$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	45	15.6%7 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf78d…8e3ebacked Yes	21c	952.38$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	13c	944.65$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.64	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes	7c	886.65$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.62	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc2…7d65backed Yes	23c	857.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0643…7b30backed Yes	14c	820.01$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.21	73	17.8%13 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ee…7cd4backed Yes	21c	810.43$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b8…9272backed Yes	8c	800$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.6	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes	15c	799.99$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.5	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd58…3fc8backed Yes	19c	788.72$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fb…ca7abacked Yes	12c	783.61$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e0…7395backed Yes	11c	750$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	12c	695.58$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.47	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d62…0d36backed Yes	11c	680.23$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.4	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f6…e98fbacked Yes	18c	660.55$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f29…3d27backed Yes	22c	652.27$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.25	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Yes	21c	652.1$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.33	68	27.9%19 W · 49 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8111…489dbacked Yes	16c	630$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	162	7.4%12 W · 150 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc786…d82ebacked Yes	13c	625.96$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.93	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d8…3024backed Yes	13c	625$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	82	7.3%6 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5552…d1c2backed Yes	3c	624.12$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Yes	16c	620$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.6	54	7.4%4 W · 50 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d3…c561backed Yes	17c	600.07$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.57	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbabc…9c2ebacked Yes	26c	589.23$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.94	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06bd…e6f5backed Yes	15c	587$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.82	45	15.6%7 W · 38 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Yes	10c	586.12$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.61	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83b…ebf8backed Yes	14c	570$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.3	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	+45%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc183…0877backed Yes	20c	562.2$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.31	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6c…a1c5backed Yes	9c	561.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b9…eee5backed Yes	18c	559$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	11%8 W · 65 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…ead9backed Yes	11c	557.84$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.65	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfce6…9f5dbacked Yes	13c	554.05$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.03	34	2.9%1 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	12cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb707…d4a4backed Yes	17c	552.82$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc49…aa14backed Yes	23c	552.41$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+136.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9600…7af4backed Yes	19c	516.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?this page
Will Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 900-949 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 950-999 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event