Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 14-21?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd15ff50078abbed7cd571b70c638d94849eb107528ab1aa93b2d3afd5866c5f8

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $657,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $367,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,135 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	4c	47,264$1,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,836.97	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	5c	46,081$2,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,107.59	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	1c	19,569$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.56	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Yes	1c	17,530$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes	1c	15,212$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.5	261	12.6%33 W · 228 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	5c	15,065$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.56	85	23.5%20 W · 65 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98f5…7226backed Yes	11c	13,000$1,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,429.37	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes	2c	12,266$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.06	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57dc…a126backed Yes	1c	10,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	8c	9,771$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$772.42	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	3c	8,712$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.39	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa77c…f762backed Yes	5c	8,608$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.83	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…5acabacked Yes	4c	8,224$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.34	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	4c	7,554$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.35	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd712…228dbacked Yes	11c	7,451$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840.35	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8111…489dbacked Yes	5c	7,123$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.44	162	7.4%12 W · 150 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf3fb…b340backed Yes	8c	5,121$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.41	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6478…a272backed Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc786…d82ebacked Yes	8c	4,154$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.01	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	11c	4,005$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb51b…06b7backed Yes	6c	3,908$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.43	104	19.2%20 W · 84 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	5c	3,802$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.83	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	1c	3,561$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.78	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	5c	3,384$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.04	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	3c	3,315$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.24	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74b2…e0adbacked Yes	7c	3,219$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.59	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	5c	3,131$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.81	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1d…a68fbacked Yes	4c	2,906$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.35	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2104…a495backed Yes	6c	2,886$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.99	104	7.7%8 W · 96 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ba8…61b7backed Yes	1c	2,791$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.54	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf407…10f7backed Yes	7c	2,742$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-82.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Yes	8c	2,553$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	78	16.7%13 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	10c	2,537$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.58	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	4c	2,514$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.97	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	7c	2,417$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.93	143	14.7%21 W · 122 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa88f…7e59backed Yes	3c	2,360$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.46	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	9c	2,305$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.6	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	2c	2,181$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.28	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8498…d219backed Yes	7c	2,147$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.55	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes	7c	2,115$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.56	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a2…2e5fbacked Yes	18c	2,029$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.16	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	6c	2,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74c8…0b36backed Yes	3c	2,000$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	77	15.6%12 W · 65 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x023e…d4d2backed Yes	2c	1,997$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x428b…c821backed Yes	8c	1,974$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	22cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	1,852$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.13	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x377e…a9d3backed Yes	6c	1,813$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b9…98ffbacked Yes	12c	1,661$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.95	56	17.9%10 W · 46 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb48…3b3fbacked Yes	9c	1,644$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.57	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c49…fbebbacked Yes	7c	1,635$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.26	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+74.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x353f…3b8dbacked Yes	4c	1,548$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.7	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0982…92c6backed Yes	6c	1,519$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.73	109	14.7%16 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Yes	3c	1,504$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.06	45	15.6%7 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa810…fd25backed Yes	3c	1,456$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.65	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0239…844bbacked Yes	8c	1,340$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.57	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes	2c	1,296$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	12cpaid	-84.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Yes	18c	1,245$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	5c	1,220$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.78	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfce6…9f5dbacked Yes	2c	1,218$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.78	34	2.9%1 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	12cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes	2c	1,198$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.69	79	5.1%4 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes	2c	1,191$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce1d…81dbbacked Yes	2c	1,146$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b84…74c6backed Yes	9c	1,129$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.13	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8837…f23abacked Yes	1c	1,112$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2dc…b2a9backed Yes	6c	1,091$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.86	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes	2c	1,047$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.93	155	20%31 W · 124 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd6…725fbacked Yes	15c	1,040$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.41	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe86c…1a53backed Yes	2c	1,021$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	5c	1,010$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.45	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe828…3dd4backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-86%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b8…9272backed Yes	7c	999.98$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x207a…6fecbacked Yes	9c	983.12$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.42	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb039…010fbacked Yes	7c	976.95$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.96	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	11c	958.19$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.75	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes	2c	906.06$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d8…3024backed Yes	7c	887.59$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.73	82	7.3%6 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1add…d2afbacked Yes	15c	856.5$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.65	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-73%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes	10c	750$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.6	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee9…6cc6backed Yes	7c	737.36$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-43%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a7…a066backed Yes	3c	727.62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.41	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Yes	9c	711.78$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.06	157	17.8%28 W · 129 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54a…ead9backed Yes	5c	699.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.4	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb707…d4a4backed Yes	5c	673.58$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…2cb0backed Yes	18c	671.46$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8e…3d89backed Yes	2c	663.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0c…3b83backed Yes	2c	631.58$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc45…13bdbacked Yes	7c	600$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d67…4e16backed Yes	2c	600$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	9cpaid	+118.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x106d…2167backed Yes	2c	596.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.93	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4c…3742backed Yes	17c	587.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fb9…5376backed Yes	5c	580$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.4	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	552.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.59	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	7c	538.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab0e…6a86backed Yes	6c	529.07$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.51	35	20%7 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Yes	9c	527.6$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.31	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Yes	3c	520.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	69	20.3%14 W · 55 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c42…6e1fbacked Yes	11c	500$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.62	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2027…6d60backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…3a31backed Yes	6c	500$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde82…95a7backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 14-21?this page
Will Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 900-949 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 950-999 times Feb 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 14-21?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event