WNBA · resolved market
Storm vs Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0cc1c16150fb1de364d9bcf4d55b10dea182d0a4314d06e2320d0f281053792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stormof Storm, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Storm | 61c | 854.51$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.26 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wings | 39c | 754.51$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.26 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Storm | 61c | 526.23$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Wings | 42c | 383.21$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wings | 33c | 271.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Wings | 42c | 239.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Wings | 17c | 233$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Wings | 40c | 194$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Wings | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Wings | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Storm | 58c | 97.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Wings | 62c | 91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Storm | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Storm | 61c | 33.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Storm | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Storm | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.