TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Royal Challengers Bangaloreof Lucknow Super Giants, Royal Challengers Bangalore
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$467,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$466,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xecd1…4096backed Lucknow Super Giants46c95,000$43,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,70010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a37…90fdbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore54c95,000$51,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,7001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19af…298cbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore54c36,710$19,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,886.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc225…19d4backed Lucknow Super Giants46c35,960$16,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,541.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x701c…9bc5backed Royal Challengers Bangalore54c29,558$15,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,596.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8624…b804backed Lucknow Super Giants46c25,308$11,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,641.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bc…9be9backed Lucknow Super Giants47c9,515$4,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,456.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore53c8,355$4,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,926.853348.5%16 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Lucknow Super Giants42c6,647$2,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,803.6315429.9%46 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Royal Challengers Bangalore46c6,545$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,561.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…acfbbacked Lucknow Super Giants78c5,529$4,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4da0…deb5backed Lucknow Super Giants46c5,012$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Lucknow Super Giants47c4,582$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.039735.1%34 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Lucknow Super Giants41c4,285$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.052356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f58…f06fbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore31c3,828$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+138.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked Lucknow Super Giants46c3,597$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.7450%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95a4…d579backed Lucknow Super Giants63c3,426$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Lucknow Super Giants48c3,118$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.79560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+127.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Royal Challengers Bangalore54c2,444$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.329154.9%50 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb42…76a5backed Lucknow Super Giants60c2,301$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.7112357.7%71 W · 52 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc99b…7d85backed Lucknow Super Giants42c2,200$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4a…ed6dbacked Lucknow Super Giants46c2,100$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…0c2cbacked Lucknow Super Giants41c2,098$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…b085backed Lucknow Super Giants42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54cd…71b9backed Lucknow Super Giants41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef4c…e162backed Lucknow Super Giants42c1,905$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff0…4074backed Lucknow Super Giants42c1,900$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…e633backed Lucknow Super Giants42c1,881$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb4…0a1dbacked Lucknow Super Giants42c1,881$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9347…7048backed Lucknow Super Giants42c1,869$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lucknow Super Giants41c1,715$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.983043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4f…4cd8backed Lucknow Super Giants41c1,700$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore53c1,700$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00de…3e7dbacked Lucknow Super Giants43c1,698$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7296440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Royal Challengers Bangalore30c1,632$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Royal Challengers Bangalore59c1,510$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.213100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Royal Challengers Bangalore54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf619…4efebacked Lucknow Super Giants46c1,488$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2881…2ad5backed Lucknow Super Giants50c1,429$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Lucknow Super Giants41c1,324$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411540%6 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569e…f662backed Royal Challengers Bangalore58c1,323$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe056…00ccbacked Lucknow Super Giants42c1,250$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Royal Challengers Bangalore60c1,242$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Royal Challengers Bangalore53c1,231$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.56048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf75…7352backed Lucknow Super Giants42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Lucknow Super Giants49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe86…3010backed Royal Challengers Bangalore58c1,190$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a2…a5fbbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore58c1,179$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd43e…a9acbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore58c1,116$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb63…3ba1backed Lucknow Super Giants42c1,114$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2324…6992backed Royal Challengers Bangalore58c1,110$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab32…ae40backed Lucknow Super Giants42c1,107$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71a7…e738backed Royal Challengers Bangalore58c1,103$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedba…3279backed Lucknow Super Giants41c1,102$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Royal Challengers Bangalore59c1,083$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed00…f47abacked Royal Challengers Bangalore54c1,081$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab0c…361cbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore59c1,081$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x902b…92edbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore59c1,054$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd181…0020backed Royal Challengers Bangalore59c1,046$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd4…57f4backed Royal Challengers Bangalore58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea05…1a54backed Royal Challengers Bangalore54c1,019$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb746…08afbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…b134backed Royal Challengers Bangalore59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfd…e7cbbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore58c1,010$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd6…c483backed Royal Challengers Bangalore58c1,003$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…5109backed Lucknow Super Giants46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Royal Challengers Bangalore59c1,000$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.697162%44 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…26f9backed Royal Challengers Bangalore58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5bb…a429backed Royal Challengers Bangalore56c999.74$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.393452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe556…2416backed Lucknow Super Giants41c998$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadbb…b5c0backed Lucknow Super Giants42c986$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0c…2512backed Royal Challengers Bangalore58c984$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1045…6cf8backed Royal Challengers Bangalore59c982.98$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33b5…b1e0backed Royal Challengers Bangalore54c979.88$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8591…9abebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore57c972$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda0f…2c70backed Lucknow Super Giants43c967$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore52c962$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.761637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7093…3431backed Royal Challengers Bangalore58c950$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…a286backed Royal Challengers Bangalore33c940.83$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.412240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a5…f9e2backed Lucknow Super Giants43c933$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efa…7b51backed Royal Challengers Bangalore58c931$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79d5…710ebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore57c928$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Royal Challengers Bangalore54c927.88$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a6e…1b79backed Lucknow Super Giants41c914.9$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…6576backed Royal Challengers Bangalore58c905$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d67…0021backed Royal Challengers Bangalore58c897$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6189…1416backed Royal Challengers Bangalore58c897$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…10c5backed Royal Challengers Bangalore60c895$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Royal Challengers Bangalore59c852.47$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.62966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa8c…9ed3backed Royal Challengers Bangalore59c851$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+113%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4156…f282backed Royal Challengers Bangalore59c849$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Lucknow Super Giants42c804.87$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.481258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+60.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Royal Challengers Bangalore37c802.42$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x040e…c03dbacked Lucknow Super Giants42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6823…2bd7backed Royal Challengers Bangalore58c771$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c2…75f8backed Royal Challengers Bangalore43c766.15$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.71850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9eb…fbe7backed Lucknow Super Giants3c755.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed3…f05fbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore58c730$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Royal Challengers Bangalore56c719.44$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.951553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f51…097ebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.