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MLB · resolved market

White Sox vs. Cubs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cubsof White Sox, Cubs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cd…9ad1backed Cubs72c43,266$31,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,112.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…c267backed White Sox28c43,100$12,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,06810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd32…33c4backed Cubs76c29,149$22,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,121.541421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-66%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0e4c…ce83backed Cubs72c9,995$7,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,798.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42cb…2e68backed White Sox28c9,995$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,798.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox25c9,436$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.011,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox26c6,881$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.861,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox24c5,432$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.661,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe281…e7bfbacked White Sox3c2,517$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7690%0 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Cubs74c2,302$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.4517866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked White Sox25c2,012$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox30c1,812$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.822,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed White Sox3c1,773$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs72c1,720$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.262,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed White Sox31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.655648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed White Sox35c1,457$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9569249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed White Sox29c1,395$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39988549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed White Sox26c1,054$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.7771751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed White Sox4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed White Sox22c943.19$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.579740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked White Sox28c935.83$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.0321740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Cubs69c728.49$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.4612347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed White Sox29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20099951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Cubs72c624.61$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.892,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed White Sox2c581.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.325862%12 W · 574 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cubs72c567.99$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0427751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cubs79c419.79$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.119,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed White Sox4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed White Sox4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9841751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked White Sox28c399.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11214050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4e…979cbacked White Sox5c347.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.05333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed White Sox12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3614539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Cubs69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8623938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.692,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.272,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cdd…c765backed Cubs72c221$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7910…0224backed White Sox28c221$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed White Sox26c195.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.263234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed White Sox13c192.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.927451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf62c…1659backed White Sox27c166$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed White Sox32c154.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.471,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Cubs74c142.07$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.074374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Cubs73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9938455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Cubs74c134.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.087548%36 W · 39 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed White Sox26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Cubs73c122.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.213250%16 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs73c106.16$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.662,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e9…3166backed White Sox18c104.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.818453.6%45 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef44…66afbacked Cubs79c101.41$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4116472%118 W · 46 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed White Sox29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed White Sox25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Cubs67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.546753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked White Sox34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3420645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f8…cf9cbacked White Sox11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-85.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa539…461bbacked White Sox29c99.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc811…a5b9backed Cubs74c97.3$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.38439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9938…c7e8backed Cubs74c85.45$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2210858.3%63 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5acb…e88fbacked Cubs73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cubs72c80.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.421,05550.3%531 W · 524 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73ec…cf9abacked Cubs72c76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x659d…c7cfbacked White Sox28c76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Cubs74c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.214150.4%71 W · 70 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed White Sox28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.641649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc61…5ad8backed White Sox29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Cubs74c67.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7494455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Cubs71c59.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1523852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Cubs73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7955152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Cubs74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0515362.7%96 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c1…c084backed White Sox29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+86%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6f6…e0a1backed Cubs73c48.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed White Sox27c46.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.721,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec9e…49a2backed White Sox29c44.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.41per pick45cpaid+80.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad92…bbe0backed Cubs72c44.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b9a…a785backed Cubs73c43.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x946b…5857backed Cubs72c37.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.55156.9%29 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5fe…5f6fbacked Cubs69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.232548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf06d…3b80backed White Sox29c35.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b8…2d83backed White Sox33c34.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.532755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa2b…c35dbacked Cubs73c32.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.88757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Cubs72c30.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5674356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2105…b560backed Cubs73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.19543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14d8…d282backed Cubs71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Cubs73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.47652.6%40 W · 36 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a62…118abacked Cubs73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e1…c293backed Cubs73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.46869.1%47 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69fc…3f73backed Cubs74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5889…f416backed Cubs72c26.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.39875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cubs73c23.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4534264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Cubs68c21.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7520944%92 W · 117 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17ab…cdcbbacked Cubs72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8312862.5%80 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fe…3800backed Cubs72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d8…ff32backed Cubs72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+148%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Cubs71c15.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.475,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.