WNBA · resolved market
Wings vs. Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6ce2390c0cf4633905422e6902a3934f73c5ab50f2bdc96325f0e65dd302d6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Wings, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 12c | 12,935$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.22 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Wings | 5c | 3,047$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wings | 7c | 2,553$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.43 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wings | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wings | 5c | 1,823$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…9530backed Wings | 10c | 1,722$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Wings | 17c | 1,418$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wings | 4c | 1,175$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Wings | 11c | 1,065$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Wings | 9c | 1,003$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Wings | 12c | 808.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Wings | 9c | 599.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Wings | 6c | 553.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Wings | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Wings | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Wings | 11c | 248$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Wings | 8c | 210.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Wings | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Wings | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wings | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Wings | 10c | 183.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…79c7backed Wings | 11c | 146.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wings | 14c | 143$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…5e30backed Wings | 12c | 86.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.