TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Red Sox vs. Brewers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brewersof Red Sox, Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$490,201
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$564,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,201 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers44c75,657$33,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,252.371,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Red Sox43c60,822$26,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,243.3111746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3196…146fbacked Brewers59c59,504$35,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,398.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce1f…41a9backed Red Sox54c28,253$15,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,2004858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…8dcabacked Red Sox53c26,389$13,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,986425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers56c20,682$11,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,018.181,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18e…014abacked Red Sox43c20,367$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,700.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Red Sox41c16,576$6,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,796.0524553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox52c12,427$6,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,468.842,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Red Sox41c10,095$4,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,138.9514048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33b2…3d6fbacked Red Sox0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee0…98cfbacked Red Sox71c9,380$6,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,667.331741.2%7 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-40.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Brewers58c7,717$4,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,241.13875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+54.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Red Sox43c7,052$3,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.1521941.1%90 W · 129 L-19.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Brewers58c6,633$3,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,785.8312655.6%70 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers54c6,588$3,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf90d…0b4dbacked Red Sox73c6,557$4,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,777.72231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers57c6,060$3,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.698149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers58c5,135$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.852,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox42c4,390$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.561,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Red Sox45c4,373$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.3625550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Brewers60c3,948$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.2916151.6%83 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Brewers42c3,697$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.1997950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58a8…52febacked Red Sox60c3,502$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.231172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Red Sox71c3,467$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.068457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Red Sox55c3,272$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.518748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Brewers47c3,167$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.0379740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f43…fab3backed Brewers54c3,000$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.53966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Red Sox42c2,815$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.4611058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf64a…27c9backed Brewers59c2,792$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.915545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Brewers58c2,431$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.021,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Brewers62c2,419$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.3521356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2016…b4bebacked Red Sox49c2,208$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.571050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d6…9528backed Red Sox42c2,200$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers57c2,106$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.5873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…c2f8backed Brewers54c2,100$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9643148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…67eabacked Red Sox42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc61a…47acbacked Red Sox42c1,905$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Brewers57c1,805$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.7468656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Red Sox40c1,750$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox49c1,639$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Brewers46c1,525$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.499,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers56c1,524$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.971,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Brewers57c1,400$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60241643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Red Sox67c1,392$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.739160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa203…56e8backed Brewers58c1,321$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Brewers44c1,270$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.111,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Brewers56c1,237$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.823943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd497…42c5backed Red Sox25c1,100$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c24…a8cbbacked Brewers58c1,043$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e08…7193backed Brewers58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Brewers56c1,025$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.3318349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Red Sox43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43015543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Brewers57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43033349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Brewers68c967.14$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.543250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29b…ec44backed Brewers58c966$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.72977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+70.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x92fd…0ad5backed Brewers58c879$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80d…f284backed Brewers58c862$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4688549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Brewers57c811.87$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.435,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Brewers56c792$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.6676456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6de4…aa6dbacked Red Sox42c750$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.3wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-73.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Sox46c732.55$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.6763942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b5…c1cebacked Red Sox72c723.67$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.289157.1%52 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Brewers32c722.2$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.3540547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4d…265cbacked Red Sox39c677.15$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fe…e789backed Red Sox57c614.43$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Red Sox50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018449.5%91 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab0…7720backed Brewers58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Brewers80c578$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.69862.2%61 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Red Sox46c549.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox42c506.63$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4585047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ccf…61a1backed Brewers58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Brewers42c478.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.5739436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x023e…d4d2backed Red Sox73c450.3$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.72650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed Brewers58c450$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1892642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b83…f984backed Brewers33c431.55$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+128.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e2…322bbacked Red Sox42c430$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.62133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Brewers50c362.9$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4523938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…10c5backed Brewers56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox44c356.82$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1571,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ed…2fefbacked Red Sox42c350$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Brewers59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.983751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Brewers30c336.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.217136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Brewers49c306.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4819852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Red Sox68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Red Sox21c283.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.118543.5%37 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Brewers59c211.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.867042.9%30 W · 40 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Brewers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Red Sox41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8225835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox47c198$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1151953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd78…230fbacked Brewers57c173.14$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.451968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Red Sox64c169.21$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10919849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x399d…01dabacked Brewers57c166.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6711757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Brewers50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox50c138$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.691,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Brewers57c137.31$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.043243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers75c132.21$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5380680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.